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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics51%9079
16Hawks49%8976
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.1
38.5
37.0
10
34%
3
13
6
2
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
4-14
5-11
29%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
37.5
30.7
8
57%
10
0
0
1
1
1
1
9
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
37.0
30.3
16
45%
8
3
1
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
7-16
6-11
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
36.6
35.3
19
85%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
4-6
67%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
27.3
32.2
13
39%
5
3
0
1
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
0-3
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
28.9
16.2
9
51%
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
19.0
13.5
4
67%
3
0
1
0
4
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
9.5
13.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
5.8
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
9.4
0
1-2
47%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
4.5
0
0-1
44%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.1
3.4
0
1-1
46%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
1.7
0
0-0
39%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
41.5
36.7
8
31%
5
3
0
2
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
38.8
36.1
16
73%
13
0
3
1
0
2
4
9
8-9
89%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
37.8
33.2
10
25%
11
8
2
1
0
1
1
10
0-0
-
5-17
6-13
29%
48%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
36.5
34.8
9
57%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
35.9
35.3
25
67%
6
1
0
1
0
7
2
4
3-4
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
4-5
80%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
15.7
7.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
14.4
16.8
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
9.8
3.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-4
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
9.6
16.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
14.3
0
1-3
46%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
4.7
0
0-0
44%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
2.8
0
0-0
57%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.