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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks49%100112
13Nuggets51%10195
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
36.0
29.2
14
50%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
33.1
26.4
14
71%
6
3
2
1
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
31.4
32.5
33
73%
11
6
0
1
1
3
1
10
6-8
75%
9-15
7-13
60%
50%
3-4
75%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
24.7
26.7
7
72%
1
10
4
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
18.3
23.8
11
70%
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
32.6
30.0
10
42%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
2-7
29%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
27.1
13.9
15
79%
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
6
1-1
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
25.8
19.3
6
43%
9
4
1
0
0
4
1
8
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
3.5
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
2.6
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
2.6
2.6
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
2.2
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
19.2
1
3-6
49%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
39.6
33.8
11
45%
3
6
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
0-4
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
34.9
30.5
24
89%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
2-3
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
25.3
21.2
9
51%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
22.9
29.0
4
25%
6
7
1
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
8.7
13.3
6
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
27.7
26.2
13
40%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-1
0%
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
1-5
20%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
25.6
26.8
12
50%
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
2-4
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
24.5
17.0
8
57%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
16.7
13.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
9.2
15.7
5
42%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
5.0
23.0
3
52%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
26.5
1
5-9
51%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
9.6
0
1-2
55%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.