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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Timberwolves39%10297
22Warriors61%10593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
44.0
34.3
36
66%
16
2
0
1
0
3
4
12
7-10
70%
10-18
6-13
56%
48%
3-5
60%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
35.0
31.0
11
70%
3
10
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
25.5
29.7
5
75%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
20.6
25.9
9
65%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
11.3
34.6
6
51%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
7-12
40%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
36.7
24.8
6
30%
11
1
1
1
3
4
0
11
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
27.4
16.2
6
30%
3
10
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
16.0
9.3
10
100%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
13.0
14.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
10.5
20.3
8
58%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
11.8
0
2-5
47%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
39.1
33.9
25
56%
9
3
1
1
0
1
4
5
7-10
70%
9-17
7-14
53%
53%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
35.1
32.5
8
57%
4
0
2
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
33.0
30.4
13
47%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-7
4-7
29%
48%
2-5
40%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
22.9
32.5
17
47%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
4.9
16.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
34.4
20.0
2
20%
9
4
1
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
30.9
25.7
9
50%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
29.0
30.1
19
75%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
4-6
2-3
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
10.8
9.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.