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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers64%9985
26Wizards36%9483
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
34.2
33.0
16
56%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
33.3
27.5
6
38%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
32.6
28.7
19
57%
9
0
2
0
1
1
5
4
3-6
50%
8-14
5-9
57%
50%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
30.1
25.2
13
60%
5
3
4
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
29.3
22.9
13
60%
4
4
3
1
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
22.1
23.4
5
54%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
0-2
4-8
0%
46%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
17.9
25.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
14.7
21.1
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
13.8
14.0
5
42%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
12.0
14.7
6
55%
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
10.5
0
1-2
44%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
2.6
0
0-1
53%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
40.7
34.8
16
52%
4
9
1
1
0
3
0
4
8-10
80%
4-9
6-13
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
35.9
26.5
16
77%
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
1-4
50%
41%
3-4
75%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
33.1
28.3
21
60%
3
5
3
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
5-6
4-9
83%
44%
2-9
22%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
32.4
32.0
8
50%
7
2
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
31.5
23.6
6
30%
5
2
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-2
0%
3-9
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
18.7
21.2
8
68%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
15.0
19.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
13.5
13.8
4
106%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Edwin Ubiles
F-G · 6'6" 204 · 25.3
11.9
11.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
7.3
14.7
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
9.5
0
2-4
44%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
6.3
0
1-1
45%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
2.6
0
0-0
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.