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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Clippers59%9590
27Hornets41%9297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
36.1
32.8
21
42%
11
2
2
1
0
2
6
5
7-13
54%
7-19
7-13
37%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
34.5
33.9
16
49%
0
9
2
2
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
51%
1-5
20%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
29.8
28.9
7
50%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
29.1
20.6
9
38%
8
2
1
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-5
20%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
27.3
24.5
14
88%
9
0
1
0
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
7-8
3-5
88%
63%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
23.5
22.7
3
11%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
44%
1-8
13%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.2
20.4
19.8
6
61%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
17.5
25.4
7
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.8
11.9
13.0
7
61%
4
0
2
0
0
0
4
0
3-4
75%
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
9.9
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
3.1
0
0-0
45%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
45.0
31.2
17
56%
4
9
2
1
0
4
0
4
7-7
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
39.6
32.2
20
70%
10
1
1
0
4
7
1
9
2-3
67%
9-13
7-14
69%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
28.8
27.9
15
82%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
28.4
20.6
17
70%
8
1
1
0
2
2
3
5
3-5
60%
7-10
3-7
70%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
18.6
29.1
2
20%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
25.6
18.8
12
90%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
18.0
21.8
5
64%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
12.3
14.5
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
10.7
22.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
8.4
16.9
6
51%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
4.9
2.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
9.2
0
1-3
55%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
5.8
0
1-2
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.