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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors31%9783
18Rockets69%104109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
33.0
36.4
12
43%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
6-14
8-15
43%
51%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
28.0
29.7
11
47%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
27.9
32.6
10
42%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
19.1
26.6
8
67%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
12.4
7.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
30.3
28.6
14
70%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
24.6
27.9
9
45%
4
2
0
1
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
45%
1-6
17%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
24.1
22.6
7
51%
6
4
2
1
0
4
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
20.0
13.4
4
33%
2
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
10.7
2.2
8
58%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
9.9
2.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
9.0
0
1-1
55%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
38.9
25.7
20
59%
11
4
0
1
0
2
4
7
2-2
100%
6-12
3-5
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
30.8
34.4
7
50%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
29.5
36.3
17
73%
3
9
3
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
25.2
31.1
18
80%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
8-10
7-13
80%
52%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
21.8
22.5
15
78%
10
1
1
0
1
1
3
7
5-6
83%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
26.2
28.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
22.8
24.4
8
41%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
18.6
16.3
4
50%
8
1
1
1
3
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.8
18.5
5.4
12
47%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
0-1
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
7.7
6.6
8
58%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.