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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets30%9084
15Hawks70%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
42.4
35.2
8
29%
9
6
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
2-7
29%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
38.7
25.9
20
48%
4
8
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
8-15
4-8
53%
46%
1-5
20%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
35.8
33.2
17
56%
8
1
0
1
1
2
5
3
5-7
71%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
21.2
27.1
0
0%
8
0
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
18.0
24.8
5
51%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
3-7
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
27.0
20.9
10
57%
5
1
1
1
2
0
0
5
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
25.4
25.3
11
34%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
46%
1-5
20%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
14.7
6.9
8
69%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-4
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
12.7
8.8
5
87%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.2
3.8
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
0.3
15.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Smith
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
8.7
0
1-2
38%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
8.3
0
0-0
38%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
41.4
36.5
16
45%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
40.6
37.9
17
77%
3
6
1
2
0
0
0
3
6-7
86%
4-6
4-9
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
39.7
38.1
30
53%
12
4
1
1
2
1
2
10
6-8
75%
12-22
8-16
55%
51%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
38.5
33.8
14
88%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
13.8
5.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
26.0
9.9
11
65%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-1
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
21.0
9.9
5
36%
7
1
0
0
0
4
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
9.3
9.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
7.0
12.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
2.7
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
38.4
1
4-8
51%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
3.2
0
0-0
44%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.5
0
0-0
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.