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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks44%9787
8Spurs56%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
37.1
32.9
16
34%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
5-19
7-13
26%
49%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
34.2
24.1
11
80%
9
0
2
1
2
0
1
8
1-2
50%
5-6
3-5
83%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
32.3
26.3
14
64%
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
4-8
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
30.9
11.5
13
55%
4
0
2
0
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-3
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
27.8
30.0
10
68%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
31.9
31.7
18
50%
2
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
4-10
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
23.6
29.4
3
30%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
13.8
17.6
2
36%
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0
2-4
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
4.3
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
2.1
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
2.1
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
22.0
0
2-5
49%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
15.4
0
2-3
54%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
36.3
26.5
18
43%
6
6
1
1
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
7-14
2-4
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.9
33.5
26.5
15
38%
12
3
0
1
0
3
4
8
3-4
75%
6-18
6-12
33%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
27.9
24.0
11
48%
7
7
2
1
1
3
0
7
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
26.7
33.1
12
75%
8
0
1
2
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
6-6
3-5
100%
51%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
19.2
19.5
8
67%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
29.4
25.0
8
50%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
26.1
22.3
14
100%
3
5
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
21.7
16.2
10
63%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
15.9
15.2
2
100%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
2.1
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Eric Dawson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
1.4
4.1
6
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
22.7
1
5-10
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.2
18.2
1
3-6
56%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.