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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nuggets53%104102
20Jazz47%103121
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
30.6
35.9
5
28%
1
6
1
1
0
6
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
26.7
29.1
13
51%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
22.3
32.5
14
58%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
7-7
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
22.1
23.1
16
76%
8
1
2
1
1
3
4
4
6-8
75%
5-7
3-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
17.6
15.4
2
33%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
28.2
19.7
11
63%
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
5
1-4
25%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
27.9
25.1
20
63%
10
0
0
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
3-8
38%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
27.4
17.6
14
69%
2
6
1
1
0
4
1
1
5-5
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
22.4
19.7
4
25%
3
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
12.4
2.2
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
2.4
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
17.4
0
2-4
49%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
6.4
0
1-1
56%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
36.8
30.2
15
74%
7
7
2
1
3
3
3
4
5-7
71%
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
31.5
29.0
23
66%
8
3
0
1
1
1
1
7
1-3
33%
11-16
7-15
69%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
28.4
27.6
13
67%
1
9
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
28.4
30.4
14
60%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-4
50%
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
26.7
25.7
12
61%
3
2
0
1
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
25.2
22.5
12
68%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
18.6
20.7
15
61%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-5
40%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
17.2
17.1
5
42%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-3
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
14.0
6.6
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
7.7
13.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
3.3
3.6
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
2.4
7.1
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
10.9
0
1-1
46%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.