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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies46%9685
13Clippers54%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
37.8
25.6
14
41%
8
2
2
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
6-16
5-10
38%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
33.6
35.8
6
25%
8
2
0
1
0
3
4
4
0-0
-
3-11
6-12
27%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.2
26.8
26.5
11
81%
6
2
0
2
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
26.7
34.4
11
53%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
3-7
5-11
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
21.9
35.8
9
75%
3
9
2
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
1-1
100%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
24.3
24.8
13
49%
3
6
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-3
33%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
2-4
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.2
18.6
12.7
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
18.1
11.8
9
150%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
3-3
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
13.4
17.8
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
10.3
11.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.0
7.5
6.5
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.8
1.0
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
36.0
33.5
19
56%
1
13
2
2
0
1
0
1
7-9
78%
6-9
5-9
67%
51%
0-4
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
34.3
25.0
6
75%
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
63%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
34.3
33.2
20
70%
10
5
1
1
1
3
3
7
8-12
67%
6-9
7-14
67%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
30.3
22.7
18
68%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
4-5
80%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
4-8
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
28.8
22.9
12
55%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
26.4
28.6
16
53%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
4-5
80%
6-12
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.2
13.2
19.5
4
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.8
12.7
12.4
3
52%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
12.0
10.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.8
10.6
15.7
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
1.5
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
22.8
1
3-6
46%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
2.3
0
0-0
47%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.