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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks54%9595
24Wizards46%9392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
36.7
38.5
9
41%
1
9
1
2
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
35.2
38.4
20
52%
9
2
3
2
2
2
2
7
4-5
80%
8-15
8-17
53%
49%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
31.8
35.0
10
56%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
30.4
38.0
16
62%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
24.5
26.3
13
75%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-6
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
25.1
17.7
13
55%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
17.6
14.6
5
87%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
17.4
3.1
6
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
15.1
9.8
3
39%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
6.2
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
10.6
0
1-3
46%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
7.2
0
1-2
43%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.5
0
0-0
56%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
36.0
29.5
20
51%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
45%
1-6
17%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
33.3
26.2
21
71%
11
2
0
1
3
1
4
7
3-4
75%
9-13
5-8
69%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
32.4
31.5
8
50%
14
3
0
1
0
3
5
9
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
31.6
36.1
8
32%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
1-8
6-12
13%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
29.7
29.1
9
41%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
1-6
17%
Edwin Ubiles
F-G · 6'6" 204 · 25.3
18.3
11.5
10
59%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
1-3
33%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
16.4
11.8
2
17%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
15.1
13.4
5
87%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
14.7
19.9
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
12.5
17.7
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
1.7
0
0-0
39%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.