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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats25%9389
22Nets75%102102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
30.4
31.4
7
28%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-3
33%
3-11
6-11
27%
48%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
28.4
29.5
8
82%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
28.2
27.0
13
61%
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
0
3-6
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
26.4
24.2
8
54%
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
19.3
22.5
4
33%
2
1
3
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
23.4
22.1
10
36%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
42%
0-4
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.5
21.2
24.9
8
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
21.0
16.0
17
73%
10
0
0
0
1
1
2
8
5-6
83%
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
19.9
18.0
10
56%
2
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-3
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
16.7
13.0
4
29%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
3.3
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
1.7
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.1
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
37.0
33.8
20
58%
16
2
0
1
1
3
8
8
2-3
67%
9-16
5-10
56%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
35.4
37.3
15
49%
7
2
3
1
0
0
0
7
4-5
80%
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
34.9
30.7
19
49%
1
14
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
51%
2-4
50%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
32.3
22.2
11
47%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
5-6
83%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
24.8
24.6
10
63%
11
2
3
1
1
1
4
7
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
20.0
25.1
6
41%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.5
19.8
10.3
8
57%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
17.6
23.1
6
44%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
14.7
11.5
7
88%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
1.7
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Smith
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
1.7
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.2
9.8
0
1-2
47%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
7.4
0
0-0
41%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.