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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pistons17%9379
6Knicks83%105101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
32.0
29.8
9
41%
3
2
2
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
42%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
31.6
31.1
20
72%
1
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
44%
4-8
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
29.0
26.4
12
55%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
28.6
31.8
6
27%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-7
5-10
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
21.7
24.0
4
50%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
19.9
22.4
8
59%
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
19.4
17.7
8
46%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
2-6
2-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
19.0
20.7
0
0%
7
0
1
1
1
1
4
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
16.4
5.6
7
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
40%
1-2
50%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
15.9
1.5
0
0%
2
4
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
6.4
2.9
5
34%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
17.4
1
2-6
44%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
15.6
0
2-5
44%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.5
29.9
28.4
15
60%
17
2
2
1
1
2
5
12
5-10
50%
5-8
4-6
63%
64%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
29.4
29.8
15
51%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
24.7
32.6
17
72%
8
2
0
1
2
1
4
4
3-4
75%
7-10
6-12
70%
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
23.9
28.5
13
75%
3
3
2
2
0
7
0
3
5-6
83%
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
21.3
21.9
2
33%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
26.7
23.2
14
48%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
1-6
17%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.8
20.1
18.3
8
62%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.7
19.7
20.2
6
43%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.9
18.6
15.6
5
50%
1
2
2
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.1
12.5
5.6
4
41%
7
0
1
0
0
3
4
3
0-2
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
5.5
4.7
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.0
3.9
3.7
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.5
3.9
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.3
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.