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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors14%87101
2Bulls86%101102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
47.1
18.2
12
36%
13
2
1
1
1
1
5
8
0-2
0%
6-15
2-5
40%
43%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
47.1
26.3
20
60%
8
2
1
1
4
6
3
5
5-6
83%
6-13
3-7
46%
45%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
45.0
34.2
20
68%
6
10
0
1
0
6
2
4
4-4
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
45%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
36.3
32.3
17
38%
7
3
0
0
1
2
1
6
8-10
80%
3-12
5-11
25%
45%
1-6
17%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
23.5
14.0
6
43%
8
0
1
0
2
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
29.5
23.8
10
73%
8
0
0
1
2
0
4
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
18.4
18.0
7
50%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
18.2
19.6
9
70%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
35.6
1
6-13
44%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
12.5
0
1-3
42%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
3.3
0
0-0
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
1.7
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
49.5
39.4
23
44%
10
4
2
1
1
1
4
6
3-5
60%
10-18
4-9
56%
49%
0-6
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
38.6
27.1
23
56%
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
6-12
3-6
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
37.3
28.0
24
60%
10
4
2
1
0
0
5
5
2-2
100%
11-19
6-12
58%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
30.4
26.7
4
23%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
12.1
30.5
2
50%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
30.1
18.6
9
53%
6
2
1
0
2
2
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
26.1
21.9
3
21%
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
17.9
15.8
10
53%
7
0
1
0
3
2
7
0
6-10
60%
2-5
1-3
40%
55%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
14.7
18.0
4
22%
2
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
8.4
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
12.2
0
3-5
51%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
6.0
0
1-2
47%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.