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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers38%97125
11Bucks62%101104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
25.3
33.2
15
60%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
9-10
90%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
24.8
30.7
16
67%
9
1
2
0
2
1
3
6
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
24.6
30.1
8
40%
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
20.8
27.1
15
48%
7
2
0
1
1
0
3
4
3-4
75%
6-14
4-9
43%
49%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
14.4
26.7
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
27.8
22.0
24
96%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
7-8
88%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
3-4
75%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
23.2
13.2
8
52%
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
22.7
13.9
13
73%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
21.4
21.3
6
44%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
17.6
17.6
9
87%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
5.8
5.8
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
5.8
3.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
5.8
2.2
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.2
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
31.5
30.3
12
38%
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-11
4-10
27%
44%
2-5
40%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
30.1
32.7
13
59%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
3-6
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
30.0
30.1
11
51%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
28.6
26.7
22
64%
8
0
0
1
0
0
6
2
5-5
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
21.4
26.4
8
34%
6
3
0
1
3
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
20.2
23.1
8
67%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
18.6
20.0
9
70%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
15.3
4.8
3
52%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
14.5
19.0
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
11.7
19.0
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
6.5
3.5
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
5.8
5.1
6
104%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
5.8
4.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.