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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic62%98117
23Raptors38%93101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
36.6
34.3
23
63%
10
3
2
1
2
3
4
6
7-10
70%
8-14
7-12
57%
59%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
35.1
33.0
28
88%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
8-13
62%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
34.7
29.6
7
35%
4
8
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
27.2
28.2
18
82%
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
48%
2-3
67%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
23.8
25.3
7
50%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
22.6
21.6
13
64%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-5
60%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
22.5
24.7
12
75%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
19.1
17.4
7
70%
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
13.3
15.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
1.7
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
1.7
2.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
1.7
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
37.8
35.7
9
50%
2
11
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
33.0
25.4
21
67%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
4-7
57%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
23.6
31.9
8
34%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
47%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
20.8
30.8
13
84%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
17.1
16.0
6
52%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
33.3
17.3
18
83%
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
3-5
60%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
24.4
18.3
9
61%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
18.4
24.4
4
40%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
58%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
11.6
9.9
6
50%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
10.7
2.8
3
65%
7
0
0
0
0
1
0
7
1-3
33%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.4
7.5
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
1.7
1.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
25.9
1
5-10
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.