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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons42%9579
25Wizards58%9877
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
36.4
30.2
8
27%
6
7
3
1
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
3-11
3-7
27%
45%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
36.1
30.2
18
51%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
34.9
13.2
24
54%
2
0
0
0
1
4
1
1
4-5
80%
7-14
2-4
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
24.5
27.0
10
87%
10
2
2
1
1
5
2
8
4-4
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
17.1
23.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
30.9
21.2
9
71%
12
0
1
1
0
1
3
9
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
23.5
19.7
5
66%
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
18.4
11.9
5
34%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
6.6
17.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
6.2
30.6
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
5.3
9.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
6.8
0
1-1
41%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
4.4
0
1-1
48%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
39.1
31.1
20
61%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
8-11
5-10
73%
47%
1-5
20%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
37.7
35.0
14
40%
7
9
2
1
1
3
0
7
1-1
100%
5-16
6-12
31%
46%
1-1
100%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
29.9
28.9
1
9%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
27.8
21.1
8
41%
9
1
2
1
0
3
1
8
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
56%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
26.4
24.0
12
67%
5
0
0
1
1
4
3
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
27.7
17.5
6
47%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
27.1
15.9
9
40%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-6
17%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
14.1
2.5
5
83%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
10.3
13.0
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
30.7
1
4-8
54%
Edwin Ubiles
F-G · 6'6" 204 · 25.3
11.3
0
1-3
45%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
6.3
0
1-1
47%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.