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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat60%9790
16Pacers40%94105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
40.8
37.3
24
51%
9
2
1
2
0
6
2
7
4-6
67%
7-17
8-15
41%
54%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
36.0
35.0
14
44%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
6-11
55%
4-10
6-13
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
35.5
35.9
24
61%
5
6
0
2
4
1
1
4
6-8
75%
3-8
8-16
38%
51%
4-8
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
27.0
28.1
13
67%
4
1
3
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
17.6
17.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
21.7
23.4
3
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
20.8
27.7
4
69%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
19.4
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
17.1
9.8
6
63%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
4.0
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
1.7
0
0-0
51%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
37.1
22.7
16
57%
10
3
0
1
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
5-11
3-5
45%
49%
2-3
67%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
35.6
28.5
11
47%
9
1
0
0
3
5
2
7
3-6
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
35.3
30.5
25
57%
9
3
0
1
0
2
3
6
6-7
86%
5-14
4-8
36%
45%
3-5
60%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
35.3
28.0
20
73%
3
3
4
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
31.0
24.7
10
63%
12
4
2
1
1
1
6
6
0-0
-
5-8
4-9
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
17.9
21.1
8
61%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
6-8
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
15.4
23.4
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
14.6
17.3
14
61%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
11.5
15.9
1
27%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
6.2
16.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.