Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Nuggets	20%	93	108	121.3	89	91.4
	3	Bulls	80%	104	91	103.4	88	85.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	37.9	22	79%	3	4	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.9	27	61%	9	2	2	0	1	0	2	7	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	3-5	60%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 25	35.4	7	35%	7	4	2	2	2	3	1	6	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 24	23.8	10	42%	8	0	0	2	0	0	4	4	0-2	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	18.5	8	57%	6	2	1	1	1	1	4	2	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	29.5	17	57%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	28.9	12	75%	4	10	3	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	19.5	5	63%	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	9.6	0	0%	1	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DND - Left Thumb Fracture
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez #5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kosta Koufos #41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	45	24	10	7	9	0	14	31	12-16	75%	36-72	50%	8-16	50%

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17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	37.9	22	79%	3	4	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.9	27	61%	9	2	2	0	1	0	2	7	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	3-5	60%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 25	35.4	7	35%	7	4	2	2	2	3	1	6	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 24	23.8	10	42%	8	0	0	2	0	0	4	4	0-2	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	18.5	8	57%	6	2	1	1	1	1	4	2	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	29.5	17	57%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	28.9	12	75%	4	10	3	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	19.5	5	63%	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	9.6	0	0%	1	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DND - Left Thumb Fracture
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez #5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kosta Koufos #41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	45	24	10	7	9	0	14	31	12-16	75%	36-72	50%	8-16	50%

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3 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 27	38.5	9	45%	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 28	34.3	17	65%	1	8	1	0	5	4	0	1	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	3-4	75%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 30	26.0	14	70%	7	2	0	0	3	2	1	6	0-2	0%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 27	22.7	2	20%	5	1	0	4	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Ronnie Brewer G · 6'7" 235 · 27	18.6	5	42%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 27	26.7	5	42%	7	1	0	2	0	2	1	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 31	26.4	14	100%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-4	100%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 29	19.9	14	64%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Omer Asik C · 7'0" 255 · 26	18.5	7	70%	6	3	1	5	2	2	3	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III F · 6'6" 230 · 23	8.3	4	40%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 34	\| DND - Right Shoulder
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	57%	32	24	3	11	15	0	5	27	8-11	73%	22-54	41%	13-20	65%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 55.1%

CHI

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

39

56%

CHI

12

22

55%

Midrange

DEN

14

33

42%

CHI

10

32

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

16

50%

75%

CHI

13

19.5

20

65%

98%

Free Throws

DEN

12

16

75%

CHI

8

11

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	27	61%	13.5 / 22
A. Afflalo	22	79%	11.0 / 14
A. Harrington	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Miller	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. McGee	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Faried	8	57%	4.0 / 7
W. Chandler	7	35%	3.5 / 10
T. Mozgov	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Brewer	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Watson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Boozer	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Korver	14	100%	7.0 / 7
J. Lucas III	14	64%	7.0 / 11
L. Deng	9	45%	4.5 / 10
O. Asik	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Brewer	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Gibson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Butler	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Noah	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 5 108.0	DEN 121.3 +17.9 CHI 103.4
Pace	2 94.1 29 88.7	DEN 91.4 +5.7 CHI 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 5 16.4	DEN 15.8 −1.0 CHI 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 14 49.0%	DEN 54.5% CHI 56.1% +1.6%
TO %	20 15.7% 15 15.1%	DEN 8.7% −8.2% CHI 16.9%
ORB %	13 27.7% 1 32.7%	DEN 34.1% +20.2% CHI 13.9%
FTrt	2 32.6 24 25.5	DEN 18.2 +3.3 CHI 14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 3 61.9%	DEN 54.5% CHI 68.6% +14.1%
STL %	15 8.6% 22 7.7%	DEN 11.2% +7.8% CHI 3.4%
BLK %	16 8.1% 9 8.7%	DEN 13.0% CHI 15.3% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 20 50.9%	DEN 55.1% CHI 56.9% +1.8%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 21 57.0%	DEN 56.4% +1.9% CHI 54.5%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 17 38.9%	DEN 42.4% +11.1% CHI 31.3%
3P %	24 33.2% 4 37.5%	DEN 50.0% CHI 65.0% +15.0%
FT %	24 73.6% 27 72.2%	DEN 75.0% +2.3% CHI 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 16 36.3%	DEN 44.3% +14.6% CHI 29.7%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 19 43.3%	DEN 37.5% −5.7% CHI 43.2%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 20 20.5%	DEN 18.2% CHI 27.0% +8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	CHI
Possessions	89	88
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	108	91
Rebounds	45	32
Assists	24	24
Steals	10	3
Blocks	7	11
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	27 (1)
Field Goals	44-88	35-74
At-the-Rim FG	22-39	12-22
Midrange FG	14-33	10-32
2-Point FG	36-72	22-54
3-Point FG	8-16	13-20
Free Throws	12-16	8-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg