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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets25%9085
9Clippers75%9997
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
28.9
35.4
9
36%
5
7
0
1
0
5
1
4
1-1
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
28.1
25.9
8
51%
8
3
2
1
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
24.8
16.9
3
27%
2
1
0
1
2
4
0
2
3-6
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
23.6
30.9
7
44%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
17.7
15.5
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
27.6
15.7
14
74%
10
2
0
0
1
3
3
7
6-8
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
25.1
17.3
15
94%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-6
2-4
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
21.8
24.8
6
69%
1
7
1
1
0
6
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
21.7
19.0
8
52%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
20.8
4.0
11
67%
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
4-6
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
22.6
0
4-9
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
16.0
0
2-5
47%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
9.1
0
1-2
54%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
35.0
33.7
25
65%
3
10
4
2
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
52%
2-6
33%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
32.8
33.1
20
72%
7
5
2
1
0
0
2
5
4-9
44%
8-10
7-13
80%
54%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
23.6
24.9
5
31%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
23.3
24.7
6
33%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-3
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
22.1
27.7
7
54%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
4-5
50%
64%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.8
24.7
12.5
3
38%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
24.4
27.4
17
69%
0
0
1
1
0
4
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
4-8
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.2
21.0
17.2
4
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.9
15.2
12.3
4
82%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
13.0
10.6
4
106%
0
2
3
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
4.9
2.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.