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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks45%96101
13Bucks55%98108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
41.0
32.2
30
54%
18
5
2
1
1
4
4
14
1-4
25%
13-23
7-15
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
37.4
32.2
10
48%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-6
17%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
37.1
36.7
15
84%
1
7
1
2
0
7
1
0
2-2
100%
5-5
4-8
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
32.4
29.7
7
60%
7
1
1
1
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
30.1
35.9
11
36%
3
8
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
3-8
5-11
38%
48%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
26.3
23.8
11
48%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
22.6
16.2
17
97%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
6-6
2-5
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
6.8
6.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
6.4
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
7.6
0
0-1
41%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
6.2
0
0-1
44%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.1
0
0-0
55%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
41.1
31.8
33
64%
4
8
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
15-21
5-11
71%
46%
0-3
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
39.1
31.7
18
61%
2
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
43%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
34.5
23.6
16
43%
5
5
0
1
1
2
1
4
6-6
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
46%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
33.1
23.3
12
86%
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
48%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
31.4
18.0
8
45%
10
1
2
0
3
1
6
4
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
30.6
24.8
13
65%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
15.8
18.5
4
40%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
14.4
3.5
4
40%
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
25.2
1
1-3
42%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
24.4
1
4-7
49%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
8.6
0
1-2
47%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.