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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Rockets24%9281
4Mavericks76%10290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
39.2
35.0
15
49%
9
1
3
1
0
3
3
6
1-3
33%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
2-5
40%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
38.1
32.6
17
54%
2
7
4
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
36.0
35.5
10
38%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
45%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
35.3
30.9
22
70%
8
4
0
1
0
4
0
8
4-4
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
16.9
20.4
0
0%
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
20.9
21.9
7
39%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
20.6
22.5
2
14%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
17.6
18.4
4
58%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.8
15.6
13.0
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
6.9
0
1-2
45%
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.8
5.4
0
0-1
38%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
35.4
34.0
21
47%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
11-12
92%
5-14
7-14
36%
51%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
28.6
24.5
4
33%
11
1
0
1
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
23.6
28.9
6
100%
6
2
1
2
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
19.4
23.7
7
44%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
18.1
23.7
4
50%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
34.4
32.1
12
43%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
29.9
20.7
13
87%
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
57%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
27.0
26.7
14
63%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-5
60%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
22.9
13.7
9
77%
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
0.3
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
0.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
8.7
0
1-2
56%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.