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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs52%102107
15Suns48%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
34.7
26.8
24
61%
4
7
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
8-14
6-11
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.9
32.3
22.0
26
73%
11
2
1
0
0
1
3
8
4-4
100%
11-16
5-10
69%
49%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
31.6
28.8
14
61%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
25.3
29.0
1
7%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-5
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
20.7
24.4
8
50%
3
2
0
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
27.2
25.8
13
65%
5
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
24.1
24.8
10
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
18.3
17.4
6
75%
2
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
15.5
14.3
2
13%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-5
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
6.0
8.9
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
4.4
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
21.2
1
2-5
44%
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 26.6
9.3
0
1-2
43%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.2
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
42.1
20.1
32
79%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
45%
5-10
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
36.8
29.2
21
64%
14
1
0
1
2
0
2
12
3-3
100%
9-14
6-11
64%
55%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
33.8
29.7
16
50%
5
8
1
1
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
8-16
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
33.4
24.7
7
39%
7
0
0
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
29.3
28.4
2
25%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
14.2
16.7
11
55%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
1-3
33%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
12.6
15.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
12.0
5.1
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
11.2
17.1
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
8.0
5.3
6
51%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
6.7
18.7
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
26.9
1
4-8
48%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
3.1
0
0-1
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.