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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Timberwolves62%10388
30Bobcats38%9983
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
43.2
34.4
15
52%
5
14
2
1
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
43.1
37.6
40
56%
19
4
0
1
0
2
6
13
8-10
80%
10-24
7-14
42%
50%
4-7
57%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
40.7
27.4
8
57%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
31.7
20.3
5
63%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
22.9
29.6
5
21%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-9
4-7
22%
51%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
30.0
21.4
11
60%
11
2
0
0
1
4
3
8
2-5
40%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
23.6
24.5
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
4.8
9.5
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
13.7
0
2-5
48%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
13.4
0
2-4
47%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.8
4.5
0
1-1
49%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
3.7
0
1-1
49%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 36.0
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
40.9
30.8
15
45%
6
2
0
1
0
3
2
4
5-6
83%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
34.2
22.9
22
61%
4
3
2
0
0
1
0
4
7-7
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
47%
1-2
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
31.6
19.0
14
58%
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
24.0
23.0
0
0%
2
8
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
21.0
22.9
6
61%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
24.0
22.5
20
62%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
4-7
3-7
57%
41%
2-6
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
19.3
9.1
2
33%
8
0
0
0
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.6
17.0
25.8
2
33%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
16.1
18.2
2
14%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
11.8
23.3
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-9
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
20.7
1
3-7
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.2
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.