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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons49%9787
29Cavaliers51%9875
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
37.7
32.0
16
53%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
45%
2-3
67%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
37.1
32.1
29
64%
8
3
0
0
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
7-17
5-10
41%
47%
4-4
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
33.0
20.7
12
67%
9
1
0
1
3
1
4
5
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
32.3
25.7
8
29%
10
2
2
1
2
3
3
7
0-2
0%
4-13
5-9
31%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
6.8
22.5
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
47%
0-2
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
29.4
8.0
8
51%
2
2
2
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
20.3
14.4
8
40%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
15.7
20.9
1
27%
6
0
0
1
4
0
3
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
15.0
24.6
3
40%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-1
3-6
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
12.8
13.3
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
21.2
1
3-6
47%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
4.8
0
0-1
40%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.8
36.9
30.4
17
40%
4
2
0
1
3
3
3
1
1-1
100%
5-17
5-11
29%
48%
2-4
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.0
36.5
30.6
22
54%
9
6
2
1
0
5
3
6
3-3
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
1-5
20%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
35.0
30.6
3
25%
9
4
1
1
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.8
32.8
25.7
5
50%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.0
30.0
28.7
9
33%
11
0
1
1
3
1
6
5
3-4
75%
3-12
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.2
18.0
16.9
4
67%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
15.3
19.1
9
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
13.0
15.6
4
27%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
11.5
15.3
2
25%
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.0
11.1
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.1
7.8
0
0-1
40%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
5.1
0
1-1
53%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.2
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

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