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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers57%9984
23Nets43%96100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
30.1
27.4
22
79%
4
4
1
1
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
4-7
57%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
28.8
30.7
5
30%
7
1
1
1
1
2
4
3
1-3
33%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
28.7
30.1
9
50%
1
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
27.6
26.5
12
60%
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
21.0
31.9
5
30%
3
0
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
22.2
12.9
5
42%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
20.9
20.5
0
0%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
19.2
14.2
6
75%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
17.1
20.0
13
73%
2
0
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
45%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
14.7
16.2
3
31%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
3.2
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
3.2
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
3.2
2.7
4
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
36.6
33.9
30
72%
3
9
2
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
48%
4-7
57%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
34.9
35.0
10
31%
6
5
3
1
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
49%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
33.6
25.3
17
58%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
31.8
29.6
12
49%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
2-3
67%
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
12.6
23.8
4
106%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
28.4
23.8
14
70%
4
0
3
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
2-4
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
18.2
11.5
3
75%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
1-2
50%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.5
17.9
15.3
6
75%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.2
13.9
10.2
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
12.1
7.7
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
16.0
0
2-4
47%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
9.7
0
1-2
46%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.