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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Bulls60%9398
18Hawks40%9077
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
37.8
22.9
4
29%
7
4
1
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
35.9
39.4
22
74%
2
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
30.4
27.9
20
64%
9
2
1
1
0
3
1
8
4-6
67%
8-13
6-12
62%
52%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
25.0
22.5
10
45%
8
3
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
24.0
31.0
5
32%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
24.1
23.9
19
69%
6
1
1
1
1
0
3
3
3-4
75%
8-12
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
24.0
17.4
10
56%
1
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
21.0
23.8
3
25%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
15.2
16.8
5
53%
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
6
1-4
25%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
1.3
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.3
0.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
10.9
0
2-4
49%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
5.4
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
37.1
36.5
13
44%
3
8
1
2
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
32.0
30.7
7
60%
10
0
1
1
1
3
2
8
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
31.8
34.9
19
43%
7
2
0
1
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
8-19
7-16
42%
47%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
28.4
33.8
12
55%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
28.3
33.5
3
25%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
25.8
24.9
10
56%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
21.4
11.2
4
29%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
13.9
5.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
11.0
18.3
4
40%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
5.7
3.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
4.6
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
5.1
0
0-0
42%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.2
0
0-0
54%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.