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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs60%105117
21Kings40%102112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
33.2
29.7
19
86%
9
2
2
2
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
3-4
75%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
31.4
29.8
10
42%
7
10
2
1
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
3-10
6-13
30%
51%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.9
29.6
26.0
18
50%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
9-18
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
23.4
23.1
8
58%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
14.9
27.5
7
47%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
27.9
15.0
8
80%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
25.1
26.3
20
80%
1
5
0
1
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
51%
3-4
75%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
17.8
17.8
0
0%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
15.0
15.4
13
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
1-4
25%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.2
14.6
11.4
7
51%
6
1
2
0
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
6.5
5.5
7
70%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
0.4
24.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
0.3
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 26.6
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
40.8
33.6
28
69%
4
10
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
8-10
3-7
80%
46%
3-9
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
37.1
31.2
15
97%
7
2
3
1
3
1
2
5
3-4
75%
6-6
5-9
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
35.7
36.1
18
56%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
2-5
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
34.5
36.4
25
49%
11
2
2
1
1
5
4
7
3-4
75%
11-24
8-18
46%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
29.8
30.2
6
60%
3
5
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
6-12
60%
47%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
17.4
9.4
7
51%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
13.8
10.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
12.8
20.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
10.8
18.6
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-2
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
7.3
5.8
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
1.4
0
0-0
45%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.