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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Suns32%9786
9Clippers68%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
39.0
28.7
10
36%
4
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-4
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-3
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
38.0
28.2
10
46%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-4
25%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
37.6
27.9
16
50%
7
4
0
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
45%
2-11
18%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
30.4
31.1
1
11%
4
15
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
30.1
31.7
23
60%
7
0
0
1
2
0
4
3
5-7
71%
9-16
6-11
56%
55%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
17.9
15.0
10
54%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-5
80%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
14.2
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
12.7
13.9
7
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
10.4
6.9
6
52%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
9.8
8.2
3
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
18.5
0
3-5
47%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
14.1
0
2-4
43%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
3.3
0
0-1
55%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
37.1
33.7
15
49%
5
15
2
2
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
53%
2-3
67%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
34.2
32.6
27
66%
14
5
1
1
1
4
4
10
1-3
33%
13-18
7-13
72%
54%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
28.3
25.4
13
76%
6
0
1
0
1
4
2
4
7-8
88%
3-5
3-5
60%
65%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
25.8
24.0
14
64%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
22.9
24.2
9
64%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.2
26.6
18.3
6
38%
8
0
0
1
2
0
5
3
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
25.1
25.9
9
37%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
1-4
25%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.8
22.2
18.4
5
43%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
10.8
11.4
2
35%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.9
4.9
13.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
2.0
3.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.