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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hornets47%95102
26Warriors53%9687
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
35.2
20.2
6
44%
8
3
3
1
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
32.8
27.7
22
85%
1
6
3
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
4-5
80%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
32.6
20.5
20
53%
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
9-18
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
29.6
32.3
20
65%
3
9
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
26.5
12.0
12
86%
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
26.4
16.2
6
51%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
22.4
19.8
8
41%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
20.9
23.3
6
47%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
13.5
11.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
26.3
1
3-6
52%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
20.5
1
2-5
46%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
16.4
0
3-7
48%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
8.9
0
1-3
55%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
40.8
37.9
28
60%
7
5
1
1
2
3
2
5
4-5
80%
12-20
8-15
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
29.6
21.4
12
60%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
4-8
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
27.9
34.3
13
60%
3
3
1
1
1
5
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
5-10
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
23.2
13.8
0
0%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
12.9
9.1
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
32.7
30.7
12
61%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
28.3
23.0
4
33%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
24.5
30.6
8
52%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
14.9
24.2
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
4.1
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Keith Benson
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.6
1.1
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
4.9
0
0-0
58%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.