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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Wizards31%9389
16Pacers69%10093
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
34.5
35.2
13
52%
2
2
2
1
1
5
1
1
5-8
63%
4-8
6-13
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
32.8
22.8
16
55%
13
2
1
1
1
1
4
9
6-6
100%
5-12
4-7
42%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
31.6
32.9
20
48%
2
3
0
1
0
5
1
1
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
45%
3-10
30%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
29.1
23.1
6
39%
11
2
1
1
2
1
6
5
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.4
27.2
28.6
8
62%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
21.3
24.3
8
50%
4
1
0
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
19.8
7.8
10
63%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
38%
2-4
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
17.4
19.0
3
30%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
13.5
12.0
2
33%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
12.8
20.2
3
52%
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
0.1
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
35.0
29.4
5
36%
5
7
2
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
4-7
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
34.0
27.9
25
71%
7
1
0
1
2
0
2
5
6-6
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
3-5
60%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
31.8
26.6
14
54%
8
2
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
27.7
28.2
7
32%
3
3
4
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
25.3
29.8
9
44%
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
24.9
19.1
8
47%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-8
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
20.4
20.7
14
76%
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
5-5
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
14.0
16.5
5
43%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
13.8
16.0
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
13.1
15.6
4
25%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
5.0
0
0-1
43%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
3.3
0
0-1
54%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.