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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat75%101113
25Raptors25%92101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
38.5
36.6
26
63%
4
9
1
2
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
11-16
8-14
69%
55%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
36.2
33.5
30
68%
6
6
3
1
1
0
4
2
5-7
71%
11-17
7-14
65%
52%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
36.0
32.8
30
70%
8
3
1
1
3
2
3
5
8-8
100%
11-18
6-12
61%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
31.0
27.7
14
79%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
27.4
16.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
24.6
22.4
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
17.0
18.7
6
87%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
16.8
14.6
2
33%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
58%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
12.4
2.0
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
5.1
0
0-0
39%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
1.4
0
0-0
54%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
42.0
34.4
9
51%
6
16
1
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
39.5
26.6
28
65%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
10-10
100%
9-15
5-10
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
38.7
31.2
27
72%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
3-4
75%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
16.4
24.4
4
34%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
4.3
15.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
30.3
22.9
12
75%
12
2
1
1
0
2
6
6
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
57%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
19.2
23.7
8
74%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
15.6
19.9
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
14.8
18.1
9
75%
2
0
0
1
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
13.1
8.3
2
50%
3
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
36%
0-1
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
6.0
11.4
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.