| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132.9 | 85 | 90.5 | |
| 117.4 | 86 | 81.1 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 113 | 101 | |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 113 | 101 |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 113 | 101 |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Slam Dunk (30 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 113 | 101 |
| Q4 - 0:29.0 | TOR | Bargnani 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST) | 111 | 101 |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | TOR | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 111 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 111 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 111 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Alley Oop Dunk | 111 | 99 |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | TOR | DeRozan 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Calderon 16 AST) | 111 | 99 |
| Q4 - 1:03 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Dunk (30 PTS) | 111 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:18 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 109 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:20 | TOR | MISS Calderon 8' Pullup Jump Shot | 109 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | MIA | Bosh 2' Putback Dunk (28 PTS) | 109 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 107 | 97 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot | 107 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:02 | TOR | DeRozan 7' Driving Hook Shot (26 PTS) | 107 | 97 |
| Q4 - 2:13 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 107 | 95 |
| Q4 - 2:13 | TOR | SUB: Kleiza FOR Johnson | 106 | 95 |
| Q4 - 2:13 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 106 | 95 |
| Q4 - 2:13 | TOR | DeRozan S.FOUL (P2.T4) | 105 | 95 |
| Q4 - 2:34 | TOR | Johnson 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS) | 105 | 95 |
| Q4 - 2:36 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6) | 105 | 93 |
| Q4 - 2:38 | TOR | MISS Calderon 2' Driving Reverse Layup | 105 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:00 | TOR | RAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1) | 105 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:02 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (28 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 105 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:06 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16) | 103 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:14 | MIA | Battier P.FOUL (P4.T4) | 103 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:19 | MIA | Chalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3) | 103 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:39 | MIA | Bosh 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 103 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 101 | 93 |
| Q4 - 4:00 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot | 101 | 93 |
| Q4 - 4:15 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (24 PTS) | 101 | 93 |
| Q4 - 4:17 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 99 | 93 |
| Q4 - 4:19 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 99 | 93 |
| Q4 - 4:41 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 99 | 93 |
| Q4 - 4:41 | MIA | SUB: Chalmers FOR Cole | 99 | 92 |
| Q4 - 4:41 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 99 | 92 |
| Q4 - 4:41 | MIA | Battier S.FOUL (P3.T2) | 99 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:03 | MIA | Wade 7' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 99 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:26 | TOR | Calderon 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 97 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:45 | TOR | RAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 97 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 97 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:00 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:16 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:17 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:29 | TOR | MISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 94 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:45 | TOR | SUB: DeRozan FOR Forbes | 93 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 93 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:45 | TOR | Johnson S.FOUL (P3.T3) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:58 | MIA | SUB: James FOR Turiaf | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:58 | TOR | RAPTORS Violation: Delay of game Violation | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:58 | TOR | SUB: Anderson FOR Johnson | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:58 | TOR | Johnson Foul Turnover (P4.T15) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:58 | TOR | Johnson OFF.Foul (P3) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:13 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:14 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Driving Jump Shot | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:28 | TOR | Johnson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T14) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:45 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:48 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 7:58 | MIA | MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:10 | TOR | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 92 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 91 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | Cole Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 90 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | TOR | Calderon T.FOUL (P2.T2) | 89 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | TOR | Calderon S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 89 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:44 | 89 | 89 | ||
| Q4 - 8:44 | TOR | Forbes Violation:Kicked Ball | 89 | 89 |
| Q4 - 8:59 | TOR | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 15 AST) | 89 | 89 |
| Q4 - 9:14 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 89 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:14 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 88 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:14 | TOR | Bargnani Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1) | 87 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:27 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 87 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:30 | TOR | MISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup | 87 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:33 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 87 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:36 | MIA | Johnson BLOCK (2 BLK) | 87 | 86 |
| Q4 - 9:56 | TOR | Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Calderon 14 AST) | 87 | 86 |
| Q4 - 10:10 | MIA | Turiaf L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) | 87 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:10 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 87 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:11 | TOR | MISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | Cole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 87 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:37 | TOR | SUB: Johnson FOR DeRozan | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:37 | TOR | Johnson Violation:Kicked Ball | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIA | Turiaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:46 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:55 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 10:56 | TOR | MISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 11:15 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 11:16 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 11:42 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 85 | 83 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 83 | 83 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 83 | 83 | |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | MIA | Cole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 83 | 83 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | TOR | Bargnani 15' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST) | 80 | 83 |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Anthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8) | 80 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:13 | TOR | Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST) | 80 | 81 |
| Q3 - 1:29 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 80 | 79 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 80 | 79 |
| Q3 - 1:59 | TOR | Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST) | 80 | 79 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 80 | 76 |
| Q3 - 2:28 | MIA | SUB: Cole FOR Chalmers | 78 | 76 |
| Q3 - 2:28 | TOR | Johnson P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 78 | 76 |
| Q3 - 2:40 | TOR | Bargnani Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 78 | 76 |
| Q3 - 2:51 | MIA | James 10' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 78 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:00 | TOR | DeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 76 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:17 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 76 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:18 | MIA | MISS Harris 2' Running Reverse Layup | 76 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:29 | TOR | SUB: Forbes FOR Johnson | 76 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:29 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1) | 76 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:29 | TOR | DeRozan 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST) | 76 | 76 |
| Q3 - 3:39 | MIA | Calderon STEAL (1 STL) | 76 | 74 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 76 | 74 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | SUB: Harris FOR Bosh | 76 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 76 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P3.T3) | 76 | 72 |
| Q3 - 4:08 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 76 | 72 |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | Heat Violation: Delay of game Violation | 73 | 72 |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | SUB: Battier FOR Wade | 73 | 72 |
| Q3 - 4:31 | TOR | Johnson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST) | 73 | 72 |
| Q3 - 4:58 | MIA | James 4' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 73 | 70 |
| Q3 - 5:11 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 71 | 70 |
| Q3 - 5:11 | TOR | SUB: Johnson FOR Kleiza | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 5:11 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 5:11 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 71 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6) | 71 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:36 | TOR | DeRozan 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST) | 71 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 70 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | TOR | RAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | TOR | Johnson S.FOUL (P2.T1) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:13 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:14 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 17' Step Back Jump Shot | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:35 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:36 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:50 | TOR | Bargnani 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:09 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:10 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 69 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:22 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 69 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:22 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 69 | 62 |
| Q3 - 7:22 | MIA | Wade S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 69 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | Wade 2' Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 69 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:46 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:47 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 20' Jump Shot | 67 | 61 |
| Q3 - 8:06 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 67 | 61 |
| Q3 - 8:18 | TOR | Bargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 65 | 61 |
| Q3 - 8:42 | MIA | James 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS) | 65 | 59 |
| Q3 - 8:56 | TOR | DeRozan 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST) | 63 | 59 |
| Q3 - 9:11 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 63 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:12 | MIA | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 63 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:35 | TOR | Johnson 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST) | 63 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:45 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:47 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot | 63 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:09 | TOR | Bargnani 14' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST) | 63 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:30 | MIA | Bosh 2' Running Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 63 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:50 | TOR | Johnson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST) | 61 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:58 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 61 | 51 |
| Q3 - 10:59 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 61 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:25 | MIA | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 61 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:30 | TOR | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 59 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:38 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 59 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:39 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 | 51 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 59 | 51 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 59 | 51 | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 59 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 21' Running Jump Shot | 59 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 59 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Battier | 58 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 58 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | TOR | DeRozan S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | MIA | SUB: Battier FOR Anthony | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | MIA | SUB: Bosh FOR Turiaf | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | MIA | SUB: Wade FOR Battier | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1) | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | MIA | James 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS) | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Turiaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:08 | MIA | Turiaf 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:27 | TOR | Bargnani 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST) | 53 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:47 | TOR | Davis Violation:Defensive Goaltending | 53 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 53 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:00 | TOR | Bargnani 20' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 51 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:17 | MIA | James 6' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 51 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | TOR | Davis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 49 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 49 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | TOR | SUB: Forbes FOR Anderson | 47 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | TOR | RAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 47 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | TOR | Calderon S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 47 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:07 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 47 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:07 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 47 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:07 | MIA | Turiaf S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:23 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:25 | MIA | MISS Turiaf 5' Driving Jump Shot | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:44 | TOR | Anderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:47 | TOR | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:48 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:48 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:48 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:48 | TOR | Anderson S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:59 | MIA | SUB: Turiaf FOR Wade | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:59 | MIA | SUB: Battier FOR Bosh | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:59 | 47 | 45 | ||
| Q2 - 3:59 | TOR | Davis P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:10 | TOR | Anderson 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 47 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:13 | TOR | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 47 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:14 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:43 | MIA | James 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 47 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:54 | TOR | Calderon 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST) | 45 | 43 |
| Q2 - 5:00 | MIA | Bosh 5' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 45 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 43 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:09 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 43 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:28 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS) | 43 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | TOR | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 6:08 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 6:21 | MIA | SUB: Chalmers FOR Cole | 39 | 41 |
| Q2 - 6:21 | TOR | SUB: Davis FOR Johnson | 39 | 41 |
| Q2 - 6:21 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1) | 39 | 41 |
| Q2 - 6:23 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 39 | 41 |
| Q2 - 6:28 | MIA | Anderson STEAL (1 STL) | 39 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:34 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 39 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:35 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:50 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 39 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:50 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 39 | 38 |
| Q2 - 6:50 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:00 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:02 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (1 BLK) | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:19 | TOR | Johnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:33 | MIA | SUB: James FOR Harris | 39 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:33 | TOR | SUB: Calderon FOR Uzoh | 39 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:33 | MIA | Harris P.FOUL (P3.T2) | 39 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:50 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS) | 39 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:54 | TOR | Uzoh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 37 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:17 | MIA | Harris 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 37 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:19 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Turiaf | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:32 | TOR | Bargnani 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Uzoh 2 AST) | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:47 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 8:48 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 8:59 | TOR | SUB: Anderson FOR Johnson | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 8:59 | TOR | SUB: DeRozan FOR Forbes | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:04 | TOR | Johnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:07 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:08 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:21 | TOR | SUB: Bargnani FOR Davis | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:21 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:21 | TOR | MISS Uzoh 4' Driving Layup | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:26 | MIA | Uzoh STEAL (1 STL) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:38 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:38 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw Technical | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:38 | TOR | RAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson ) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:52 | MIA | Turiaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:54 | TOR | MISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:10 | MIA | Harris P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:11 | TOR | Forbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:12 | MIA | Davis BLOCK (1 BLK) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:28 | TOR | Forbes 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Uzoh 1 AST) | 35 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:44 | MIA | Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 35 | 29 |
| Q2 - 10:57 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 | 29 |
| Q2 - 10:58 | TOR | MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot | 32 | 29 |
| Q2 - 11:04 | MIA | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 32 | 29 |
| Q2 - 11:09 | TOR | Johnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 32 | 29 |
| Q2 - 11:31 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 32 | 27 |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 | 27 |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 32 | 27 |
| Q2 - 11:32 | TOR | Johnson S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 31 | 27 |
| Q2 - 11:39 | TOR | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 31 | 27 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 31 | 27 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 31 | 27 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 31 | 27 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot | 31 | 27 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 31 | 27 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Johnson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 | 27 |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | TOR | Forbes P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 31 | 27 |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | TOR | Forbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 31 | 27 |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Battier S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 31 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | TOR | Forbes 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 31 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | James 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 31 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | TOR | MISS Uzoh 2' Driving Layup | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:04 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Battier 4' Running Tip Shot | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:05 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:25 | TOR | Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:25 | TOR | Johnson OFF.Foul (P1) | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | TOR | SUB: Uzoh FOR Calderon | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | MIA | SUB: Cole FOR Chalmers | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | TOR | SUB: Johnson FOR DeRozan | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | MIA | James Traveling Turnover (P2.T2) | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:53 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 29 | 24 |
| Q1 - 2:09 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:10 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Finger Roll Layup | 29 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:34 | TOR | Johnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 29 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:36 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 29 | 20 |
| Q1 - 2:37 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot | 29 | 20 |
| Q1 - 2:52 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 29 | 20 |
| Q1 - 3:09 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 3:09 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 26 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | Harris S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 26 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | DeRozan STEAL (1 STL) | 26 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:33 | TOR | Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 26 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:45 | MIA | Battier L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:45 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:06 | MIA | SUB: Harris FOR Wade | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:06 | TOR | DeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:24 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS James 12' Jump Bank Shot | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIA | SUB: Turiaf FOR Anthony | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIA | SUB: Battier FOR Bosh | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:37 | TOR | SUB: Forbes FOR Kleiza | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:41 | TOR | DeRozan 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 26 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:50 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 26 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:50 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 25 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:50 | TOR | Davis S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 24 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:59 | TOR | Calderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 24 | 13 |
| Q1 - 5:10 | MIA | Bosh 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 24 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:28 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 22 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:28 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 22 | 10 |
| Q1 - 5:28 | TOR | MISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 | 10 |
| Q1 - 5:28 | MIA | Chalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 22 | 10 |
| Q1 - 5:35 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 | 10 |
| Q1 - 5:36 | MIA | MISS James 5' Turnaround Hook Shot | 22 | 10 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | TOR | Davis 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 22 | 10 |
| Q1 - 5:51 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 22 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:53 | TOR | MISS Johnson 3' Running Layup | 22 | 8 |
| Q1 - 6:13 | MIA | Chalmers 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 22 | 8 |
| Q1 - 6:26 | TOR | Calderon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 20 | 8 |
| Q1 - 6:38 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 20 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:38 | TOR | SUB: Davis FOR Bargnani | 19 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:38 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 19 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:38 | TOR | Kleiza S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 18 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:49 | TOR | Kleiza 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 18 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:05 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 18 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:14 | TOR | DeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST) | 16 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:20 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 16 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:21 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 9' Fadeaway Jumper | 16 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:35 | MIA | Wade 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS) | 16 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:38 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:39 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:45 | TOR | SUB: Johnson FOR Gray | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:55 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:56 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Putback Dunk | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:58 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 7:59 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 8:19 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 8:35 | MIA | Bosh 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 14 | 2 |
| Q1 - 8:46 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 | 2 |
| Q1 - 8:47 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot | 12 | 2 |
| Q1 - 8:59 | MIA | Bosh 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 12 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:11 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:11 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 10 | 1 |
| Q1 - 9:11 | MIA | Bosh S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 10 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:18 | TOR | RAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 10 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:25 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 10 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:31 | TOR | Bargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 8 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:49 | MIA | James 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 8 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:55 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:13 | MIA | Chalmers 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:23 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:27 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 3' Driving Layup | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:41 | MIA | Wade 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:44 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:59 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:00 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:16 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:17 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Running Finger Roll Layup | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:26 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:28 | TOR | MISS Gray 5' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:46 | MIA | Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Bargnani vs. Anthony: Tip to Bosh | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 30 | 68% | 15.0 / 22 | |
| C. Bosh | 30 | 68% | 15.0 / 22 | |
| L. James | 26 | 62% | 13.0 / 21 | |
| M. Chalmers | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| N. Cole | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| T. Harris | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| R. Turiaf | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| J. Anthony | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| S. Battier | 0 | - | 0.0 / 5 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeRozan | 28 | 64% | 14.0 / 22 | |
| A. Bargnani | 27 | 71% | 13.5 / 19 | |
| A. Johnson | 12 | 75% | 6.0 / 8 | |
| J. Calderon | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| J. Johnson | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| G. Forbes | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| L. Kleiza | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| E. Davis | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| A. Anderson | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| A. Gray | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| B. Uzoh | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.6 100.5 | MIA 132.9 +15.5 TOR 117.4 |
| Pace | 91.3 89.6 | MIA 90.5 +9.4 TOR 81.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 16.6 | MIA 15.9 −1.8 TOR 17.8 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.5% 47.5% | MIA 60.4% +2.8% TOR 57.6% |
| TO % | 15.9% 16.1% | MIA 8.4% −8.2% TOR 16.6% |
| ORB % | 26.6% 26.0% | MIA 34.4% +2.3% TOR 32.1% |
| FTrt | 30.7 27.4 | MIA 31.2 +4.8 TOR 26.4 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 53.8% 60.9% | MIA 59.1% TOR 69.2% +10.1% |
| STL % | 9.6% 7.2% | MIA 12.9% +7.1% TOR 5.8% |
| BLK % | 9.0% 8.2% | MIA 8.6% +2.3% TOR 6.3% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.5% 50.2% | MIA 62.8% +2.0% TOR 60.8% |
| Rim FG% | 61.1% 59.1% | MIA 66.7% +5.2% TOR 61.5% |
| Mid FG% | 40.0% 37.2% | MIA 52.4% TOR 56.3% +3.9% |
| 3P % | 35.9% 34.0% | MIA 35.7% TOR 35.7% |
| FT % | 77.5% 77.0% | MIA 83.3% TOR 94.7% +11.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.7% 34.1% | MIA 54.5% +18.4% TOR 36.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 43.6% 45.1% | MIA 27.3% −17.2% TOR 44.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 19.8% 20.9% | MIA 18.2% TOR 19.4% +1.3% |
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 86 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.6 | 25.4 |
| Points | 113 | 101 |
| Rebounds | 30 | 30 |
| Assists | 26 | 27 |
| Steals | 11 | 5 |
| Blocks | 5 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 8 (0) | 16 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (1) | 9 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 19 (1) | 21 (2) |
| Field Goals | 44-77 | 39-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 28-42 | 16-26 |
| Midrange FG | 11-21 | 18-32 |
| 2-Point FG | 39-63 | 34-58 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-14 | 5-14 |
| Free Throws | 20-24 | 18-19 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.