Final Win Prob. pScore
175%101
113
2525%92
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
132.98590.5
TOR logo Raptors
117.48681.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA113
101
Q4 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)113
101
Q4 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot113
101
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABosh 1' Driving Slam Dunk (30 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)113
101
Q4 - 0:29.0TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)111
101
Q4 - 0:31.0TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)111
99
Q4 - 0:32.0TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99
Q4 - 0:36.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)111
99
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Bosh 2' Alley Oop Dunk111
99
Q4 - 0:52.0TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Calderon 16 AST)111
99
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (30 PTS)111
97
Q4 - 1:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)109
97
Q4 - 1:20TORMISS Calderon 8' Pullup Jump Shot109
97
Q4 - 1:39MIABosh 2' Putback Dunk (28 PTS)109
97
Q4 - 1:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)107
97
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Driving Jump Shot107
97
Q4 - 2:02TORDeRozan 7' Driving Hook Shot (26 PTS)107
97
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)107
95
Q4 - 2:13TORSUB: Kleiza FOR Johnson106
95
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)106
95
Q4 - 2:13TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P2.T4)105
95
Q4 - 2:34TORJohnson 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)105
95
Q4 - 2:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)105
93
Q4 - 2:38TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Reverse Layup105
93
Q4 - 3:00TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)105
93
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (28 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)105
93
Q4 - 3:06TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)103
93
Q4 - 3:14MIABattier P.FOUL (P4.T4)103
93
Q4 - 3:19MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3)103
93
Q4 - 3:39MIABosh 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (James 9 AST)103
93
Q4 - 3:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
93
Q4 - 4:00TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot101
93
Q4 - 4:15MIABosh 1' Layup (24 PTS)101
93
Q4 - 4:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
93
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup99
93
Q4 - 4:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
93
Q4 - 4:41MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole99
92
Q4 - 4:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)99
92
Q4 - 4:41MIABattier S.FOUL (P3.T2)99
91
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade 7' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)99
91
Q4 - 5:26TORCalderon 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)97
91
Q4 - 5:45TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)97
89
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
89
Q4 - 5:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
89
Q4 - 6:00TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
89
Q4 - 6:16TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)94
89
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot94
89
Q4 - 6:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
89
Q4 - 6:29TORMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot94
89
Q4 - 6:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
89
Q4 - 6:45TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Forbes93
89
Q4 - 6:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
89
Q4 - 6:45TORJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T3)92
89
Q4 - 6:58MIASUB: James FOR Turiaf92
89
Q4 - 6:58TORRAPTORS Violation: Delay of game Violation92
89
Q4 - 6:58TORSUB: Anderson FOR Johnson92
89
Q4 - 6:58TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T15)92
89
Q4 - 6:58TORJohnson OFF.Foul (P3)92
89
Q4 - 7:13TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
89
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Jump Shot92
89
Q4 - 7:28TORJohnson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T14)92
89
Q4 - 7:45TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
89
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup92
89
Q4 - 7:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
89
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot92
89
Q4 - 8:10TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)92
89
Q4 - 8:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
89
Q4 - 8:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
89
Q4 - 8:33MIACole Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 8:33TORCalderon T.FOUL (P2.T2)89
89
Q4 - 8:33TORCalderon S.FOUL (P2.T2)89
89
Q4 - 8:4489
89
Q4 - 8:44TORForbes Violation:Kicked Ball89
89
Q4 - 8:59TORJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 15 AST)89
89
Q4 - 9:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
86
Q4 - 9:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
86
Q4 - 9:14TORBargnani Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)87
86
Q4 - 9:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
86
Q4 - 9:30TORMISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup87
86
Q4 - 9:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)87
86
Q4 - 9:36MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)87
86
Q4 - 9:56TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Calderon 14 AST)87
86
Q4 - 10:10MIATuriaf L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)87
83
Q4 - 10:10TORRAPTORS Rebound87
83
Q4 - 10:11TORMISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
83
Q4 - 10:32MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)87
83
Q4 - 10:37TORSUB: Johnson FOR DeRozan85
83
Q4 - 10:37TORJohnson Violation:Kicked Ball85
83
Q4 - 10:45MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
83
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
83
Q4 - 10:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
83
Q4 - 10:56TORMISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
83
Q4 - 11:15TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
83
Q4 - 11:16TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot85
83
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
83
Q4 - 12:0083
83
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR83
83
Q3 - 0:12.0MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 8 AST)83
83
Q3 - 0:33.0TORBargnani 15' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)80
83
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)80
81
Q3 - 1:13TORJohnson 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)80
81
Q3 - 1:29TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
79
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot80
79
Q3 - 1:59TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)80
79
Q3 - 2:16MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS)80
76
Q3 - 2:28MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers78
76
Q3 - 2:28TORJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)78
76
Q3 - 2:40TORBargnani Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)78
76
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames 10' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)78
76
Q3 - 3:00TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)76
76
Q3 - 3:17TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
76
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Harris 2' Running Reverse Layup76
76
Q3 - 3:29TORSUB: Forbes FOR Johnson76
76
Q3 - 3:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)76
76
Q3 - 3:29TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)76
76
Q3 - 3:39MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)76
74
Q3 - 3:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
74
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Harris FOR Bosh76
73
Q3 - 3:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
73
Q3 - 3:53MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T3)76
72
Q3 - 4:08MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)76
72
Q3 - 4:11MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation73
72
Q3 - 4:11MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade73
72
Q3 - 4:31TORJohnson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)73
72
Q3 - 4:58MIAJames 4' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
70
Q3 - 5:11TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
70
Q3 - 5:11TORSUB: Johnson FOR Kleiza71
69
Q3 - 5:11TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
69
Q3 - 5:11MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)71
68
Q3 - 5:26MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)71
68
Q3 - 5:36TORDeRozan 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)71
68
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
66
Q3 - 5:58TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)69
66
Q3 - 5:58TORJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T1)69
66
Q3 - 6:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
66
Q3 - 6:14TORMISS Bargnani 17' Step Back Jump Shot69
66
Q3 - 6:35TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
66
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
66
Q3 - 6:50TORBargnani 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)69
66
Q3 - 7:09TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
63
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot69
63
Q3 - 7:22TORKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
63
Q3 - 7:22TORKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
62
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)69
61
Q3 - 7:40MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
61
Q3 - 7:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
61
Q3 - 7:47TORMISS Kleiza 20' Jump Shot67
61
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)67
61
Q3 - 8:18TORBargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
61
Q3 - 8:42MIAJames 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)65
59
Q3 - 8:56TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)63
59
Q3 - 9:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)63
57
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot63
57
Q3 - 9:35TORJohnson 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)63
57
Q3 - 9:45TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
55
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot63
55
Q3 - 10:09TORBargnani 14' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)63
55
Q3 - 10:30MIABosh 2' Running Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
53
Q3 - 10:50TORJohnson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)61
53
Q3 - 10:58TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)61
51
Q3 - 10:59TORMISS Bargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot61
51
Q3 - 11:25MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
51
Q3 - 11:30TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)59
51
Q3 - 11:38TORRAPTORS Rebound59
51
Q3 - 11:39TORMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
51
Q3 - 12:0059
51
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR59
51
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound59
51
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 21' Running Jump Shot59
51
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
51
Q2 - 0:02.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Battier58
51
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
51
Q2 - 0:02.0TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P1.PN)57
51
Q2 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Battier FOR Anthony57
51
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Rebound57
51
Q2 - 0:19.0TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup57
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Turiaf57
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier57
51
Q2 - 0:29.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)57
51
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)57
51
Q2 - 0:47.0MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
51
Q2 - 0:48.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
51
Q2 - 1:08MIATuriaf 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)55
51
Q2 - 1:27TORBargnani 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)53
51
Q2 - 1:47TORDavis Violation:Defensive Goaltending53
49
Q2 - 1:47MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
49
Q2 - 2:00TORBargnani 20' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
49
Q2 - 2:17MIAJames 6' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)51
47
Q2 - 2:34TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)49
47
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
47
Q2 - 2:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
47
Q2 - 2:50TORSUB: Forbes FOR Anderson47
47
Q2 - 2:50TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)47
47
Q2 - 2:50TORCalderon S.FOUL (P1.T4)47
47
Q2 - 3:07TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
47
Q2 - 3:07TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
46
Q2 - 3:07MIATuriaf S.FOUL (P1.T4)47
45
Q2 - 3:23TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
45
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Turiaf 5' Driving Jump Shot47
45
Q2 - 3:44TORAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
45
Q2 - 3:47TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
45
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 247
45
Q2 - 3:48MIAHeat Rebound47
45
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 247
45
Q2 - 3:48TORAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T3)47
45
Q2 - 3:59MIASUB: Turiaf FOR Wade47
45
Q2 - 3:59MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh47
45
Q2 - 3:5947
45
Q2 - 3:59TORDavis P.FOUL (P2.T2)47
45
Q2 - 4:10TORAnderson 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)47
45
Q2 - 4:13TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
43
Q2 - 4:14TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)47
43
Q2 - 4:54TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)45
43
Q2 - 5:00MIABosh 5' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)45
41
Q2 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
41
Q2 - 5:09TORMISS Bargnani 16' Pullup Jump Shot43
41
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS)43
41
Q2 - 5:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
41
Q2 - 5:48TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
41
Q2 - 6:08MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
41
Q2 - 6:21MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole39
41
Q2 - 6:21TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson39
41
Q2 - 6:21MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)39
41
Q2 - 6:23TORDeRozan 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)39
41
Q2 - 6:28MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)39
39
Q2 - 6:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
39
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
39
Q2 - 6:50TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
39
Q2 - 6:50TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
38
Q2 - 6:50MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
37
Q2 - 7:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
37
Q2 - 7:02MIABargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)39
37
Q2 - 7:19TORJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)39
37
Q2 - 7:33MIASUB: James FOR Harris39
35
Q2 - 7:33TORSUB: Calderon FOR Uzoh39
35
Q2 - 7:33MIAHarris P.FOUL (P3.T2)39
35
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 7:54TORUzoh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
35
Q2 - 8:17MIAHarris 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
35
Q2 - 8:19MIASUB: Anthony FOR Turiaf35
35
Q2 - 8:32TORBargnani 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Uzoh 2 AST)35
35
Q2 - 8:47TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
33
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot35
33
Q2 - 8:59TORSUB: Anderson FOR Johnson35
33
Q2 - 8:59TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Forbes35
33
Q2 - 8:59MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
33
Q2 - 9:04TORJohnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 9:07TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)35
31
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup35
31
Q2 - 9:21TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis35
31
Q2 - 9:21TORRAPTORS Rebound35
31
Q2 - 9:21TORMISS Uzoh 4' Driving Layup35
31
Q2 - 9:26MIAUzoh STEAL (1 STL)35
31
Q2 - 9:38MIAHeat Rebound35
31
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical35
31
Q2 - 9:38TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson )35
31
Q2 - 9:52MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31
Q2 - 9:54TORMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot35
31
Q2 - 10:10MIAHarris P.FOUL (P2.T1)35
31
Q2 - 10:11TORForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31
Q2 - 10:12MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)35
31
Q2 - 10:28TORForbes 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Uzoh 1 AST)35
31
Q2 - 10:44MIAHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
29
Q2 - 10:57MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
29
Q2 - 10:58TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 11:04MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)32
29
Q2 - 11:09TORJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)32
29
Q2 - 11:31TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
27
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 232
27
Q2 - 11:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
27
Q2 - 11:32TORJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
27
Q2 - 11:39TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
27
Q2 - 12:0031
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
27
Q1 - 0:06.0TORForbes P.FOUL (P1.T3)31
27
Q1 - 0:18.0TORForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
27
Q1 - 0:18.0MIABattier S.FOUL (P2.PN)31
26
Q1 - 0:18.0TORForbes 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
26
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
24
Q1 - 0:41.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24
Q1 - 0:42.0TORMISS Uzoh 2' Driving Layup29
24
Q1 - 1:04TORRAPTORS Rebound29
24
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Battier 4' Running Tip Shot29
24
Q1 - 1:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
24
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot29
24
Q1 - 1:25TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
24
Q1 - 1:25TORJohnson OFF.Foul (P1)29
24
Q1 - 1:35TORSUB: Uzoh FOR Calderon29
24
Q1 - 1:35MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers29
24
Q1 - 1:35TORSUB: Johnson FOR DeRozan29
24
Q1 - 1:35MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)29
24
Q1 - 1:53TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)29
24
Q1 - 2:09TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
22
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Finger Roll Layup29
22
Q1 - 2:34TORJohnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)29
22
Q1 - 2:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
20
Q1 - 2:37TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot29
20
Q1 - 2:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)29
20
Q1 - 3:09TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
20
Q1 - 3:09TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
19
Q1 - 3:09MIAHarris S.FOUL (P1.T4)26
18
Q1 - 3:12MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)26
18
Q1 - 3:33TORForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)26
18
Q1 - 3:45MIABattier L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)26
15
Q1 - 3:45TORRAPTORS Rebound26
15
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot26
15
Q1 - 4:06MIASUB: Harris FOR Wade26
15
Q1 - 4:06TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
15
Q1 - 4:24TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
15
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS James 12' Jump Bank Shot26
15
Q1 - 4:37MIASUB: Turiaf FOR Anthony26
15
Q1 - 4:37MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh26
15
Q1 - 4:37TORSUB: Forbes FOR Kleiza26
15
Q1 - 4:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)26
15
Q1 - 4:41TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
15
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
13
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
13
Q1 - 4:50TORDavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
13
Q1 - 4:59TORCalderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
13
Q1 - 5:10MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)24
11
Q1 - 5:28TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
11
Q1 - 5:28TORRAPTORS Rebound22
10
Q1 - 5:28TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 222
10
Q1 - 5:28MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
10
Q1 - 5:35TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS James 5' Turnaround Hook Shot22
10
Q1 - 5:48TORDavis 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
10
Q1 - 5:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
8
Q1 - 5:53TORMISS Johnson 3' Running Layup22
8
Q1 - 6:13MIAChalmers 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
8
Q1 - 6:26TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
8
Q1 - 6:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
6
Q1 - 6:38TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani19
6
Q1 - 6:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
6
Q1 - 6:38TORKleiza S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
6
Q1 - 6:49TORKleiza 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)18
6
Q1 - 7:05MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)18
4
Q1 - 7:14TORDeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)16
4
Q1 - 7:20TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
2
Q1 - 7:21TORMISS Bargnani 9' Fadeaway Jumper16
2
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)16
2
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
2
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot14
2
Q1 - 7:45TORSUB: Johnson FOR Gray14
2
Q1 - 7:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
2
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Putback Dunk14
2
Q1 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
2
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup14
2
Q1 - 8:19TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
2
Q1 - 8:35MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
2
Q1 - 8:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
2
Q1 - 8:47TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot12
2
Q1 - 8:59MIABosh 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
2
Q1 - 9:11TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
2
Q1 - 9:11TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
1
Q1 - 9:11MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
0
Q1 - 9:18TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
0
Q1 - 9:25MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
0
Q1 - 9:31TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
0
Q1 - 9:49MIAJames 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
0
Q1 - 9:55TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
0
Q1 - 10:13MIAChalmers 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
0
Q1 - 10:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
0
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:00TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:16TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 2' Running Finger Roll Layup2
0
Q1 - 11:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:28TORMISS Gray 5' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:46MIABosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Anthony: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
TOR
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
28
42
67%
TOR
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
11
21
52%
TOR
18
32
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
TOR
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
20
24
83%
TOR
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3068%15.0 / 22
C. Bosh3068%15.0 / 22
L. James2662%13.0 / 21
M. Chalmers1478%7.0 / 9
N. Cole6100%3.0 / 3
T. Harris583%2.5 / 3
R. Turiaf233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
S. Battier0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2864%14.0 / 22
A. Bargnani2771%13.5 / 19
A. Johnson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Calderon950%4.5 / 9
J. Johnson975%4.5 / 6
G. Forbes880%4.0 / 5
L. Kleiza433%2.0 / 6
E. Davis2100%1.0 / 1
A. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
A. Gray0-0.0 / 1
B. Uzoh0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+12
-8
89
TOR
70
+13
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
TOR
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.5
MIA 132.9 +15.5
TOR 117.4
Pace
91.3
89.6
MIA 90.5 +9.4
TOR 81.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.6
MIA 15.9 −1.8
TOR 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
47.5%
MIA 60.4% +2.8%
TOR 57.6%
TO %
15.9%
16.1%
MIA 8.4% −8.2%
TOR 16.6%
ORB %
26.6%
26.0%
MIA 34.4% +2.3%
TOR 32.1%
FTrt
30.7
27.4
MIA 31.2 +4.8
TOR 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
60.9%
MIA 59.1%
TOR 69.2% +10.1%
STL %
9.6%
7.2%
MIA 12.9% +7.1%
TOR 5.8%
BLK %
9.0%
8.2%
MIA 8.6% +2.3%
TOR 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
50.2%
MIA 62.8% +2.0%
TOR 60.8%
Rim FG%
61.1%
59.1%
MIA 66.7% +5.2%
TOR 61.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
37.2%
MIA 52.4%
TOR 56.3% +3.9%
3P %
35.9%
34.0%
MIA 35.7%
TOR 35.7%
FT %
77.5%
77.0%
MIA 83.3%
TOR 94.7% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.1%
MIA 54.5% +18.4%
TOR 36.1%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
45.1%
MIA 27.3% −17.2%
TOR 44.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.9%
MIA 18.2%
TOR 19.4% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points113101
Rebounds3030
Assists2627
Steals115
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (1)21 (2)
Field Goals44-7739-72
At-the-Rim FG28-4216-26
Midrange FG11-2118-32
2-Point FG39-6334-58
3-Point FG5-145-14
Free Throws20-2418-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
38.5
26
62%
4
9
1
0
3
0
1
3
4-6
67%
11-16
69%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
36.2
30
68%
6
6
3
1
0
1
4
2
5-7
71%
11-17
65%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
36.0
30
68%
8
3
1
3
2
1
3
5
8-8
100%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
31.0
14
78%
3
5
2
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
27.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
24.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
17.0
6
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 249 · 29
16.8
2
33%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
12.4
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
63%
30
26
11
5
8
0
11
19
20-24
83%
39-63
62%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.