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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets72%10699
30Bobcats28%9988
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
39.6
29.7
19
63%
11
4
1
1
0
2
1
10
4-7
57%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
34.1
35.8
14
55%
3
10
0
1
2
7
0
3
3-4
75%
4-5
5-9
80%
55%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
26.9
22.5
12
71%
8
0
1
1
2
1
1
7
8-10
80%
2-4
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
22.0
23.1
11
53%
3
0
0
1
2
4
1
2
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
18.9
31.1
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
31.9
27.6
10
39%
11
2
0
1
0
2
3
8
0-2
0%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-4
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
26.3
18.0
17
69%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
7-8
2-5
88%
48%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
25.2
24.9
4
50%
1
9
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
15.3
10.2
6
60%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
13.5
0
2-4
53%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
5.6
0
1-1
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
5.2
0
1-1
58%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
34.5
34.2
21
50%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
8-17
6-13
47%
48%
1-3
33%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
32.0
26.7
19
48%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
3-9
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
29.4
21.9
2
20%
8
1
0
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
23.0
23.3
4
40%
1
8
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
8.4
13.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
25.0
22.7
11
51%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
21.3
14.3
6
60%
2
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
21.0
17.1
15
56%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
6-9
2-3
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
20.2
18.4
4
20%
10
0
1
0
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-10
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
16.7
23.6
6
33%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.6
8.4
22.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
53%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
2.0
0
0-1
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.