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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Knicks53%9690
19Hawks47%95100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.8
41.0
26.9
25
71%
1
2
3
1
0
2
1
0
4-8
50%
6-9
3-6
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
40.4
28.7
36
60%
9
2
5
1
2
5
3
6
13-14
93%
10-20
5-11
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.5
39.3
28.6
4
38%
9
1
0
1
1
3
1
8
0-3
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
62%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
27.1
23.9
7
72%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 33.0
24.0
22.7
4
25%
2
4
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
33.0
26.5
5
23%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
1-4
25%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.8
20.4
21.0
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-2
50%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.1
8.7
13.6
6
63%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
6.2
11.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
13.9
1
2-4
46%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.3
7.7
0
1-1
44%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.0
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.5
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
41.6
33.6
23
50%
6
3
2
1
1
7
2
4
7-9
78%
8-14
8-16
57%
48%
0-5
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
39.3
31.9
28
61%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
6-7
86%
8-15
4-9
53%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
38.2
36.2
11
56%
2
7
3
2
3
5
0
2
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
34.2
30.9
5
39%
12
0
1
1
0
1
4
8
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
21.2
31.4
0
0%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
33.1
25.1
13
71%
7
1
2
1
2
0
1
6
5-5
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
18.9
14.2
20
101%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-6
2-3
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
8.9
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
3.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
1.5
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
6.1
0
1-1
44%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
4.2
0
0-0
43%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.0
0
0-0
55%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.