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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks66%103121
28Cavaliers34%9884
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
32
34
13
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
6-14
6-12
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
31
33
28
2
6
4
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
8-11
5-11
73%
45%
3-6
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
24
27
9
5
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1-2
50%
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
24
18
20
10
2
0
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
7-9
3-5
78%
51%
2-2
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
23
26
8
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
25
17
7
3
10
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
19
26
16
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
4-5
80%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
19
22
6
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
5
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.4
13
7
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
10
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
8
3
8
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
6
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.0
32
32
29
3
5
0
1
0
6
0
3
1-1
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
49%
6-6
100%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
32
31
19
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
3-5
60%
8-10
3-7
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.8
30
32
2
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
6-12
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.8
29
28
6
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.0
29
29
15
11
0
0
1
0
1
9
2
3-7
43%
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.2
19
17
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.0
18
12
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
16
14
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
16
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
11
17
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
8
5
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
4
0
0-1
52%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.2
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.