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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks42%93100
9Magic58%9598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
36.7
33.8
28
65%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
8-8
100%
7-15
7-14
47%
49%
2-3
67%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
35.1
26.4
15
75%
9
4
1
1
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
25.8
6.6
5
43%
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
24.5
20.3
12
51%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
24.4
27.2
0
0%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
34.6
31.6
17
64%
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
1-4
25%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
24.3
9.8
15
64%
3
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
19.4
20.4
4
52%
5
0
3
1
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
12.5
20.1
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
2.8
25.6
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
21.8
1
3-5
49%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
2.5
0
0-1
40%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
43.6
31.8
19
47%
15
1
2
1
1
0
1
14
7-16
44%
6-13
7-11
46%
59%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
38.1
26.7
12
52%
4
4
1
1
0
5
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
32.6
22.7
6
43%
5
2
1
1
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
32.0
25.5
21
72%
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
6-6
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
32.0
27.9
24
67%
7
4
0
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
48%
3-7
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
25.2
24.5
2
14%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
16.0
17.0
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
13.7
10.4
4
50%
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
6.7
22.6
4
50%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
19.7
1
1-2
42%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-0
45%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
2.4
0
0-1
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.