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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies44%9689
14Rockets56%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
40.3
34.8
20
50%
5
1
2
1
0
0
4
1
2-2
100%
9-16
6-12
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
38.9
23.9
19
50%
9
2
1
1
2
1
4
5
5-7
71%
7-16
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.2
32.3
29.0
15
43%
7
1
3
2
2
2
4
3
5-6
83%
5-14
4-8
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
26.4
31.3
7
39%
1
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
12.1
22.4
2
17%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
31.3
20.5
15
49%
5
4
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
4-6
2-6
67%
45%
1-7
14%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
25.4
26.2
6
38%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
9.2
19.6
1
27%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
8.8
12.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.0
8.5
10.1
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
6.9
4.2
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.2
7.7
0
1-2
44%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
39.8
34.8
17
64%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
36.2
17.6
7
52%
16
0
2
1
6
0
3
13
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
34.3
33.7
25
77%
3
7
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
3-5
60%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
28.1
31.8
11
62%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
5-8
6-13
63%
50%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
27.4
35.6
7
39%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
21.2
21.3
13
81%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
16.9
18.8
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
13.8
21.5
8
40%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.8
13.7
13.5
4
52%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
8.6
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
31.5
1
3-6
46%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.6
0
1-1
47%
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.