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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hornets18%8885
5Lakers82%10088
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
36.9
23.0
17
48%
10
0
0
1
2
0
2
8
1-2
50%
8-16
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
35.4
33.9
8
31%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
33.0
22.1
18
42%
3
10
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
6-17
3-7
35%
47%
1-3
33%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
32.6
18.9
6
38%
7
1
0
0
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
31.7
26.7
10
45%
7
1
4
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
26.2
10.7
6
43%
8
1
4
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
24.4
28.8
12
52%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
19.8
22.4
8
58%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
42%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
28.4
1
5-10
49%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
13.2
1
2-3
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
11.8
0
2-5
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
11.7
1
1-3
44%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
8.9
0
1-2
53%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
38.3
37.2
11
24%
3
5
3
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
2-13
7-15
15%
49%
1-8
13%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
37.0
34.6
19
78%
10
2
0
1
2
3
0
10
5-5
100%
7-10
7-12
70%
58%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
36.3
33.9
21
61%
11
3
0
1
2
3
2
9
5-7
71%
8-14
6-12
57%
53%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
32.3
29.0
10
54%
2
10
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-1
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
24.6
31.6
8
80%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
27.5
23.5
8
34%
6
4
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
55%
0-4
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
22.4
16.0
2
33%
8
3
0
0
0
1
5
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
21.6
17.6
9
90%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
3-5
60%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
6.8
0
0-1
51%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
1.8
0
0-1
49%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
1.1
0
0-0
47%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.