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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks36%8890
1176ers64%9395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
45.2
34.1
15
58%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
40.6
27.8
8
50%
3
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
36.2
36.1
34
74%
9
5
2
1
1
3
3
6
9-11
82%
11-17
8-16
65%
46%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
31.9
36.5
8
38%
0
4
1
2
0
2
0
0
4-6
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
24.3
32.0
4
29%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
27.2
27.8
6
34%
3
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
18.3
15.9
8
51%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
16.2
13.7
7
64%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
6.2
0
0-1
39%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
4.1
0
0-1
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
4.0
0
0-0
43%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.2
0
0-0
54%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
42.8
26.4
18
65%
8
4
0
1
1
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
3-4
75%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
37.3
28.8
25
85%
10
5
0
1
3
1
4
6
5-6
83%
10-12
4-9
83%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
30.4
30.8
9
41%
8
6
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-9
5-10
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
30.1
30.0
13
47%
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.9
26.5
21.2
8
46%
8
0
1
0
0
4
2
6
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
28.6
25.6
12
68%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
2-6
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
20.6
25.6
4
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
16.6
23.2
6
40%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.1
7.0
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
0.1
11.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.4
8.5
0
1-3
49%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.2
3.8
0
1-1
48%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.