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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz30%9596
7Clippers70%102105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
36.9
33.2
14
44%
7
2
1
1
2
3
1
6
6-9
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
36.8
32.3
26
59%
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
13-22
8-16
59%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
30.1
29.8
18
54%
9
5
0
1
0
1
4
5
6-6
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
52%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
29.8
26.5
5
56%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
26.4
22.1
13
94%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
3-3
100%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
21.6
25.4
3
18%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
18.2
17.7
4
52%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
17.9
20.7
5
53%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
11.2
10.4
7
90%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
11.1
11.5
1
13%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
16.5
0
2-5
45%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
5.8
0
1-1
42%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
2.3
0
0-0
55%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
37.0
34.9
24
61%
8
6
1
1
1
5
0
8
4-8
50%
10-16
8-14
63%
54%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
33.5
25.3
17
62%
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
3-8
38%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
30.9
35.7
26
80%
3
6
0
2
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
8-11
5-10
73%
52%
2-3
67%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
30.6
29.3
6
104%
10
1
1
1
1
3
2
8
2-2
100%
2-2
4-6
100%
64%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
29.1
27.3
8
80%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.3
25.3
17.3
1
13%
6
1
2
1
3
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
21.6
25.1
13
60%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
17.1
10.4
7
37%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.8
11.8
17.5
3
150%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.9
3.0
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
2.1
0
0-1
49%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.