FinalWin Prob.pScore
158%92
72
1042%89
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
78.39287.7
BOS logo BOS
100.09195.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA72
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Howard 3' Layup72
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Pittman 9' Hook Shot72
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0BOSJump Ball Moore vs. Pittman: Tip to Cole72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 272
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11BOSJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47BOSJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Cole 4' Jump Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08BOSJump Ball Dooling vs. Jones: Tip to Cole72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14BOSCELTICS Rebound72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Pittman 11' Hook Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28BOSMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46BOSMISS Bradley 2' Layup71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28BOSBass 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Pittman Free Throw 1 of 168
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00BOSMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Cole 16' Jump Shot66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAStiemsma BLOCK (1 BLK)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20BOSMISS Pierce 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39BOSPierce 19' Step Back Jump Shot (23 PTS)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22BOSDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45BOSPierce 1' Driving Dunk (21 PTS)60
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHeat Rebound60
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 8:24BOSBass Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)60
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:28BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Bank Shot60
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:54BOSDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)60
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 9:04BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot60
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 9:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 9:21BOSMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot60
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIAStiemsma STEAL (2 STL)60
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 9:58BOSDooling Foul Turnover (P1.T10)60
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 10:08MIAHaslem 1' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)60
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Cole 3' Layup58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 10:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 10:18BOSMISS Rondo 4' Jump Shot58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 10:28BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Bank Shot58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 10:38BOSMISS Garnett 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 11:11MIAHaslem 16' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)58
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 11:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 11:40BOSMISS Garnett 12' Jump Shot56
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSRondo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)56
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T10)56
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)56
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:12BOSPavlovic Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)54
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:18BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot54
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 1:32BOSBradley 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)54
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 1:47BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Cole 22' Jump Shot54
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound54
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 2:05BOSMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 2:13BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot54
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Turiaf 9' Jump Bank Shot54
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 2:57BOSBradley 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)54
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)54
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 3:16BOSStiemsma Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)52
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 3:22BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS James 2' Layup52
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 3:32BOSStiemsma Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)52
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 3:50BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 4:09BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)52
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 4:15BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 4:23BOSMISS Rondo 10' Jump Shot52
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 4:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 252
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 252
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 4:53BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 4:53BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 5:09MIABradley STEAL (2 STL)52
13.2%
65
86.8%
Q3 - 5:19BOSGarnett 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)52
15.5%
65
84.5%
Q3 - 5:27BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup52
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 5:44BOSRondo 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)52
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q3 - 5:58BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 5:59BOSMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot52
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 6:05BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
24.2%
61
75.8%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot52
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 6:29BOSGarnett 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)52
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
30.5%
59
69.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
29.8%
59
70.2%
Q3 - 7:02BOSBradley 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)50
28.4%
59
71.6%
Q3 - 7:15BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
31.4%
57
68.6%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Bosh 12' Step Back Jump Shot50
32.5%
57
67.5%
Q3 - 7:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
35.0%
57
65.0%
Q3 - 7:34BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 150
34.5%
57
65.5%
Q3 - 7:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot50
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 8:07BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q3 - 8:14BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot50
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 8:23BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup50
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q3 - 8:38MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)50
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q3 - 9:02BOSBradley 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)48
36.2%
55
63.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)48
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
43.2%
53
56.8%
Q3 - 9:26BOSMISS Garnett 2' Layup48
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 9:32BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot48
40.6%
53
59.4%
Q3 - 9:54BOSBass Dunk (12 PTS)48
43.2%
53
56.8%
Q3 - 9:55BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
46.7%
51
53.3%
Q3 - 9:56BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup48
49.4%
51
50.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIAJames 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)48
47.4%
51
52.6%
Q3 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
44.1%
51
55.9%
Q3 - 10:29BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup46
43.0%
51
57.0%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)46
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 10:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
37.2%
51
62.8%
Q3 - 10:58BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)44
35.0%
51
65.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q3 - 11:44BOSPierce 1' Layup (14 PTS)44
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q3 - 11:48MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)44
41.4%
49
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
45.0%
49
55.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
49.5%
47
50.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Rondo 3' Jump Shot44
51.1%
47
48.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAJames 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot42
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup42
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)42
49.9%
45
50.1%
Q2 - 1:26BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)40
45.6%
45
54.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIABass STEAL (1 STL)40
53.1%
42
46.9%
Q2 - 1:55BOSGarnett 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)40
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)40
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q2 - 2:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 2:37BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot38
55.0%
40
45.0%
Q2 - 2:58BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
52.9%
40
47.1%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
53.8%
40
46.2%
Q2 - 3:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
56.7%
40
43.3%
Q2 - 3:10BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot38
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 3:25MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
53.2%
40
46.8%
Q2 - 3:27MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)35
45.1%
40
54.9%
Q2 - 3:36BOSBass 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)35
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q2 - 3:46MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)35
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 4:04BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
47.7%
40
52.3%
Q2 - 4:04BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
48.2%
39
51.8%
Q2 - 4:08BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
50.5%
38
49.5%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup35
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 4:26BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)35
53.7%
38
46.3%
Q2 - 4:43MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)35
56.4%
36
43.6%
Q2 - 4:57BOSBass 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)33
53.7%
36
46.3%
Q2 - 5:01BOSCELTICS Rebound33
57.1%
34
42.9%
Q2 - 5:02BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup33
58.9%
34
41.1%
Q2 - 5:06BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
57.1%
34
42.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup33
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 5:27BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)33
59.7%
34
40.3%
Q2 - 5:34BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 7' Fadeaway Jumper33
57.8%
34
42.2%
Q2 - 5:52BOSBradley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)33
59.7%
34
40.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWade 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)33
56.8%
34
43.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
54.5%
34
45.5%
Q2 - 6:14BOSMISS Pierce 5' Jump Shot31
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q2 - 6:35MIABattier 2' Layup (8 PTS)31
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q2 - 6:38MIAHeat Rebound29
48.9%
34
51.1%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot29
46.6%
34
53.4%
Q2 - 6:59BOSBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
48.9%
34
51.1%
Q2 - 7:07BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 129
46.8%
34
53.2%
Q2 - 7:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 7:16BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot27
43.0%
34
57.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)27
41.0%
34
59.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 7:28BOSMISS Stiemsma 2' Layup27
43.0%
34
57.0%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)27
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 7:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot25
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 8:17BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 8:43MIABattier 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)25
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 8:43MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 10' Hook Shot23
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 9:05BOSStiemsma 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)23
35.2%
34
64.8%
Q2 - 9:19BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 9:45BOSBradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)23
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 10:13MIAJames 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)23
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q2 - 10:37MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 10:40BOSMISS Garnett 10' Fadeaway Jumper21
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHaslem 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)21
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup19
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q2 - 11:09BOSMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 11:14BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 11:16MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)19
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 11:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Cole 12' Jump Shot19
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q2 - 11:31BOSMISS Bradley 8' Floating Jump Shot19
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 11:45BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot19
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS19
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound19
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical19
38.3%
29
61.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSStiemsma Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSStiemsma Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
41.0%
27
59.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 219
41.3%
27
58.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 1:11MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)18
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q1 - 1:37BOSPierce 20' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)15
39.0%
25
61.0%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)15
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
38.9%
23
61.1%
Q1 - 2:00BOSMISS Stiemsma 2' Layup13
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 2:05MIAStiemsma STEAL (1 STL)13
37.8%
23
62.2%
Q1 - 2:18BOSDooling 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)13
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 2:41BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 213
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 2:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q1 - 2:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q1 - 2:50BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 3:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 3:25BOSMISS Stiemsma 17' Jump Shot12
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJames 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
40.3%
21
59.7%
Q1 - 3:59BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 3:59BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 4:20MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 4:32BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)10
43.0%
19
57.0%
Q1 - 4:40BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup10
48.0%
16
52.0%
Q1 - 4:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
49.6%
16
50.4%
Q1 - 4:53BOSMISS Pierce 2' Driving Layup10
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 5:08MIAJames 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 5:22BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)8
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 5:48MIAJames Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 5:52BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
47.7%
13
52.3%
Q1 - 6:11BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot6
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot6
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 6:35BOSMISS Pierce 12' Step Back Jump Shot6
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 6:54MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 7:18BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)4
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 7:27BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 7:43BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 7:43BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
49.1%
10
50.9%
Q1 - 7:52BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS James 17' Jump Bank Shot4
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 8:19BOSRondo Running Layup (7 PTS)4
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 8:25BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.0%
7
45.0%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Bosh 10' Hook Shot4
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:43BOSRondo 1' Running Layup (5 PTS)4
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 8:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup4
59.4%
5
40.6%
Q1 - 9:12BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)4
61.1%
5
38.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
62.8%
3
37.2%
Q1 - 9:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
61.1%
3
38.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot2
59.8%
3
40.2%
Q1 - 9:44BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
61.1%
3
38.9%
Q1 - 9:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.3%
3
40.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS James 1' Driving Dunk2
59.8%
3
40.2%
Q1 - 10:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 10:04BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 22
61.0%
3
39.0%
Q1 - 10:04BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
60.1%
3
39.9%
Q1 - 10:06BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 10:08BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 10:11BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 10:13BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot2
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 10:19BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot2
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 10:55BOSMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot2
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:39BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)0
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Garnett vs. Anthony: Tip to Rondo0
61.2%
0
38.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.4%
BOS
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
33
48%
BOS
15
29
52%
Midrange
MIA
12
40
30%
BOS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
BOS
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
7
17
41%
BOS
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2357%11.5 / 20
D. Wade1539%7.5 / 19
S. Battier1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
N. Cole729%3.5 / 12
C. Bosh417%2.0 / 12
M. Chalmers220%1.0 / 5
D. Pittman225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 2
R. Turiaf0-0.0 / 1
T. Harris0-0.0 / 1
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2361%11.5 / 19
R. Rondo1657%8.0 / 14
B. Bass1680%8.0 / 10
A. Bradley1359%6.5 / 11
K. Garnett1042%5.0 / 12
G. Stiemsma650%3.0 / 6
K. Dooling563%2.5 / 4
S. Pavlovic250%1.0 / 2
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
R. Hollins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-11
99
BOS
76
+6
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.4%
BOS
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.6
MIA 78.3 +21.7
BOS 100.0
Pace
91.3
90.8
MIA 87.7
BOS 95.7 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
MIA 16.4
BOS 15.0 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
49.6%
MIA 36.5%
BOS 50.7% +14.2%
TO %
15.9%
15.4%
MIA 11.1% +5.6%
BOS 16.7%
ORB %
26.6%
19.9%
MIA 25.4% +11.9%
BOS 13.5%
FTrt
30.7
25.7
MIA 19.1
BOS 31.4 +12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
66.5%
MIA 48.4%
BOS 63.6% +15.2%
STL %
9.6%
8.3%
MIA 4.3%
BOS 7.7% +3.4%
BLK %
9.0%
8.7%
MIA 10.5% +6.4%
BOS 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.8%
MIA 36.4%
BOS 55.5% +19.1%
Rim FG%
61.1%
57.7%
MIA 48.5%
BOS 51.7% +3.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.9%
MIA 30.0%
BOS 46.4% +16.4%
3P %
35.9%
36.7%
MIA 18.8%
BOS 38.5% +19.7%
FT %
77.5%
77.8%
MIA 41.2%
BOS 90.9% +49.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
32.5%
MIA 37.1%
BOS 41.4% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
48.0%
MIA 44.9%
BOS 40.0% +4.9%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.4%
MIA 18.0%
BOS 18.6% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points7291
Rebounds4749
Assists1521
Steals47
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)44 (2)
Field Goals31-8933-70
At-the-Rim FG16-3315-29
Midrange FG12-4013-28
2-Point FG28-7328-57
3-Point FG3-165-13
Free Throws7-1720-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
35.7
15
39%
8
3
1
3
2
4
3
5
3-5
60%
6-14
43%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
34.6
23
57%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
11-20
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
30.7
4
17%
11
4
0
1
3
1
2
9
0-2
0%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
22.6
2
20%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
15.6
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
25.4
7
29%
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
1-9
11%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
24.4
8
57%
8
1
0
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
21.8
11
61%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
7.5
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 249 · 29
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
5.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
5.2
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
36%
47
15
4
6
11
0
15
32
7-17
41%
28-73
38%
3-16
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.