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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors21%94112
5Lakers79%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
41.3
37.9
27
47%
6
7
1
1
1
3
2
4
7-8
88%
10-25
8-16
40%
51%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
27.9
29.6
18
55%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
6-8
4-8
75%
44%
2-8
25%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
21.7
26.0
10
73%
1
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
20.5
21.0
14
79%
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
6-6
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
11.0
12.0
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
28.0
25.1
4
50%
4
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
26.3
15.2
17
65%
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
5-6
83%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
25.2
25.2
16
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
4-4
100%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
19.8
30.9
4
29%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
18.4
4.4
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
7.1
0
1-1
46%
Keith Benson
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
40.2
34.5
26
68%
11
6
0
1
3
2
4
7
4-5
80%
11-16
6-12
69%
53%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
37.2
37.3
40
64%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-7
71%
13-25
7-15
52%
48%
3-3
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
32.9
29.8
23
82%
3
9
0
1
0
3
1
2
7-9
78%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
2-3
67%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
32.7
28.7
9
41%
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
3
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
10.2
35.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
7-13
0%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
27.3
24.9
5
43%
4
0
2
1
3
2
0
4
2-4
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
26.9
4.9
8
80%
11
2
0
0
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
17.6
18.5
2
33%
8
1
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
15.1
19.3
7
74%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-1
49%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
2.0
0
0-0
49%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.