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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Rockets26%9199
3Bulls74%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
39.9
27.9
18
53%
12
6
2
0
3
2
5
7
0-0
-
9-17
5-11
53%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
36.1
36.6
13
40%
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
5-5
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
45%
0-3
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
32.3
33.6
21
70%
1
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
5-7
71%
8-12
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
30.5
27.6
12
50%
11
2
1
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
27.7
31.8
6
43%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
25.9
20.6
13
65%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
20.1
21.5
5
64%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-8
67%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.8
15.8
12.8
9
56%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
6.2
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
5.5
14.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
15.2
1
1-3
44%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.7
0
1-1
44%
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
2.9
0
0-1
37%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
40.8
36.0
24
74%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
4-5
80%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
2-3
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
34.9
23.9
15
63%
9
1
1
1
4
1
4
5
1-2
50%
7-11
3-7
64%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
34.0
26.4
16
55%
13
7
1
1
0
2
5
8
0-1
0%
8-14
6-11
57%
53%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
24.8
25.2
2
14%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
19.8
5.5
6
38%
1
3
0
0
0
5
1
0
1-2
50%
1-6
1-2
17%
46%
1-1
100%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.4
22.8
22.0
8
44%
3
5
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
20.2
26.5
8
44%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
15.2
25.3
6
43%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
14.1
22.8
4
38%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-3
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
13.1
16.2
4
72%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
2-4
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
0.3
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
11.0
0
2-4
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.