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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors22%8899
976ers78%9978
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
38.1
33.9
18
46%
3
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
7-17
6-13
41%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
34.0
32.7
24
70%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
45%
3-7
43%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
33.2
34.5
12
64%
0
13
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
47%
1-4
25%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
31.1
13.7
13
93%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
38%
3-4
75%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
20.0
16.2
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
26.8
20.7
10
56%
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
25.4
20.0
4
50%
14
0
0
0
0
1
3
11
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
15.1
20.2
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
14.8
11.8
6
44%
4
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
38%
0-0
-
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
1.5
1.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
19.1
1
2-5
46%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
14.9
0
2-4
44%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
36.5
29.9
6
44%
4
6
1
1
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
35.3
30.7
20
63%
4
3
1
1
4
0
0
4
2-2
100%
9-15
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
33.1
30.8
20
67%
3
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
26.2
33.5
4
20%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-10
5-11
20%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.9
25.2
27.1
10
56%
9
2
0
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
29.3
27.2
6
38%
3
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
53%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
26.3
21.8
3
30%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
1-5
20%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
22.0
25.3
9
45%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.4
3.1
4.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.2
3.1
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
5.0
0
1-1
47%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.1
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.