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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder42%9693
1Heat58%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
43.5
37.6
30
63%
4
3
0
1
2
9
0
4
6-6
100%
9-14
7-13
64%
51%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
39.5
34.2
28
47%
4
2
3
2
0
4
3
1
9-9
100%
8-22
7-15
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
30.6
26.0
2
26%
7
2
0
0
1
2
1
6
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
24.0
24.8
4
33%
7
0
2
0
5
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
20.6
24.1
4
50%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.6
33.8
28.3
12
52%
5
5
3
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-10
3-5
40%
54%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
17.4
21.0
4
69%
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.7
17.0
16.6
2
25%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
9.7
8.4
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
4.0
9.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
6.7
0
0-1
40%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
41.5
35.9
34
66%
7
10
4
2
1
2
1
6
11-13
85%
7-13
8-16
54%
54%
3-7
43%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
37.7
34.4
19
46%
3
2
3
1
2
5
1
2
5-6
83%
7-16
8-15
44%
51%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
34.6
28.4
13
55%
3
2
3
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
51%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
32.4
33.7
12
38%
6
0
1
1
1
3
1
5
4-4
100%
4-14
6-12
29%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
15.4
16.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
33.1
24.1
9
64%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
3-7
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
26.3
26.0
6
44%
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
6
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
7.5
14.1
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
5.5
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
4.0
11.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
2.0
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.