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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nuggets59%10192
27Hornets41%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
42.3
35.1
22
61%
1
6
2
1
0
2
1
0
6-7
86%
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
40.2
35.4
15
44%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
26.7
24.6
13
59%
8
1
1
1
1
1
5
3
3-7
43%
5-8
3-7
63%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
24.9
24.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
14.5
17.9
8
50%
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
33.1
29.5
14
47%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
2-6
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
21.6
17.7
7
79%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
20.5
25.7
6
75%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
16.2
5.8
7
44%
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
9.3
0
1-2
48%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
6.8
0
1-2
51%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
4.7
0
1-1
56%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
37.1
25.3
11
94%
5
10
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
33.7
10.9
15
50%
4
4
1
0
0
4
0
4
7-9
78%
1-8
2-3
13%
49%
2-3
67%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
33.3
16.1
14
57%
10
2
1
0
5
2
3
7
2-3
67%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
31.3
10.0
15
61%
6
1
1
0
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
4-8
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
25.3
27.7
10
83%
4
1
1
1
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
5-6
5-10
83%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
26.6
15.1
12
52%
5
2
0
0
1
2
2
3
4-8
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
18.2
33.4
5
36%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
16.3
21.1
8
57%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
10.8
16.5
2
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
7.5
30.1
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
26.8
1
4-9
48%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
19.2
0
2-4
49%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
12.0
0
1-2
49%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.