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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Knicks54%9796
19Magic46%9580
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.8
36.6
33.9
9
65%
4
0
1
2
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
1-1
100%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.5
35.4
33.8
12
67%
12
0
0
1
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
6-9
4-6
67%
62%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
28.3
34.6
19
50%
8
3
0
1
0
3
3
5
5-7
71%
4-11
7-14
36%
46%
2-5
40%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
25.9
23.2
10
43%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-6
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
2-4
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 33.0
19.3
25.6
5
42%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
33.8
28.6
15
63%
4
9
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
24.9
10.0
15
63%
5
6
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
1-2
60%
43%
1-2
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.8
23.7
17.2
9
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
3-6
50%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.1
12.0
11.9
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
9.8
0
1-1
53%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
6.3
0
0-1
44%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
6.1
0
0-0
41%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.5
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
39.7
24.0
8
43%
8
1
1
1
3
5
3
5
0-3
0%
4-8
5-8
50%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
36.6
25.6
16
44%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
2-9
22%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.2
31.7
31.3
10
35%
6
5
1
1
0
3
1
5
1-1
100%
0-8
4-7
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.3
27.7
29.9
15
66%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
3-3
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
44%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
18.4
33.5
7
70%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
38.6
27.5
10
54%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
18.7
4.9
13
73%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
13.5
22.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
9.5
18.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
2.8
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
2.8
1.1
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.7
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.