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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Trail Blazers30%9599
9Mavericks70%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
44.5
34.0
25
49%
12
2
0
1
1
1
6
6
3-4
75%
11-24
7-15
46%
50%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.8
43.1
30.7
30
81%
7
6
2
1
0
2
1
6
1-1
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
44%
5-8
63%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.3
40.0
35.6
6
33%
9
5
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
36.8
35.2
9
41%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.5
13.2
13.9
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.0
28.7
18.5
14
42%
4
3
0
0
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
1-4
25%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.6
27.4
26.5
8
36%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
13.0
15.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
9.9
14.2
3
38%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.1
8.5
2.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
8.0
0
1-2
39%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.5
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.4
2.6
0
0-1
53%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
42.6
35.1
23
65%
14
2
0
1
1
1
1
13
4-4
100%
8-11
7-14
73%
50%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
41.6
27.3
12
55%
9
1
1
1
1
3
1
8
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
30.3
23.8
10
36%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-12
3-6
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.4
27.9
18.2
2
20%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
23.7
23.2
6
30%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
37.4
32.6
18
64%
1
5
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
4-9
44%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
25.1
11.6
13
87%
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
3
1-1
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
57%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
25.1
19.2
10
35%
1
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
5-9
2-5
56%
51%
0-5
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
11.4
14.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
19.3
1
2-4
56%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
3.8
0
0-0
44%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
2.0
0
0-1
42%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.