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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors32%9898
18Jazz68%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
38.1
38.3
26
68%
12
4
0
1
0
3
6
6
6-7
86%
10-16
9-18
63%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
31.9
21.3
6
25%
2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
49%
0-4
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
31.5
25.5
23
70%
5
1
3
1
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
5-11
3-8
45%
46%
4-5
80%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
24.9
25.9
8
44%
1
7
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
20.3
20.1
14
71%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
27.2
13.2
0
0%
7
1
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
23.1
19.2
6
30%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
17.8
24.5
8
67%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
15.3
26.3
5
51%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
9.9
15.6
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
39.1
32.1
12
51%
7
2
2
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
39.1
15.4
28
85%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
7-8
88%
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
5-8
63%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
38.8
34.8
30
74%
11
2
0
1
5
2
4
7
4-5
80%
13-18
9-17
72%
51%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
37.1
36.1
14
53%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
5-5
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
51%
1-6
17%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
16.6
25.0
2
20%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
23.8
20.1
1
17%
6
6
2
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
16.8
20.8
4
29%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
15.1
14.2
7
48%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
9.1
20.9
6
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
4.5
9.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
8.7
0
1-3
46%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
5.9
0
1-2
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
1.8
0
0-0
58%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.