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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets32%96112
5Lakers68%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
38.3
35.6
10
56%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
38.2
32.5
26
58%
4
11
3
1
0
3
1
3
7-8
88%
5-12
4-7
42%
50%
3-7
43%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
37.3
29.9
13
93%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
3-3
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
30.5
31.5
25
65%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
10-17
6-13
59%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
25.1
27.7
12
61%
11
1
0
1
2
0
3
8
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
22.7
11.5
12
50%
6
0
3
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
20.6
22.2
6
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
17.6
20.7
6
33%
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.8
9.8
13.5
2
29%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
12.8
1
1-3
45%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.7
0
1-1
46%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
5.9
0
1-2
44%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
37.1
36.9
14
55%
10
5
0
1
1
2
3
7
4-4
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
36.9
35.6
28
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
11-11
100%
7-16
7-15
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
32.4
26.6
23
74%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
45%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
30.5
26.0
19
67%
7
0
0
0
2
5
2
5
7-7
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
58%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
28.4
33.5
10
37%
6
7
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-8
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
30.3
25.8
3
17%
13
4
1
1
1
1
4
9
0-0
-
0-7
2-4
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
21.1
19.8
6
43%
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
19.3
17.7
2
50%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
3.9
12.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
2.1
0
0-1
45%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
1.8
0
0-1
50%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.